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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.24+6.65vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.83+3.55vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.02+5.73vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.80+5.63vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.82+4.26vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.10-1.07vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.71+2.97vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.51+2.48vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.08-0.30vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+0.51vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.20-2.79vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.98-3.12vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.97-3.98vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.88-4.60vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.33-7.56vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.24-1.26vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.73-7.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.65University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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5.55Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.73University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.63University of South Florida2.800.1%1st Place
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9.26Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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4.93Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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9.97Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.48Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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8.7Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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10.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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8.21College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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8.88Tufts University2.980.0%1st Place
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9.02Boston College2.970.0%1st Place
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9.4U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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7.44Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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14.74George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
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9.9Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Crane | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% |
| Sky Adams | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.6% |
| Morgan Kiss | 15.6% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 4.1% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 7.9% |
| Eliza Richartz | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Liana Folger | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 6.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 3.0% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 11.7% | 53.0% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.