Race 11A

oyster-bowl-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Piper Holthus 29.0% 23.2% 17.6% 12.0% 7.8% 5.6% 2.9% 1.5% 0.3%
Grace Squires 12.8% 14.0% 14.1% 12.7% 12.3% 11.2% 10.4% 7.4% 4.9%
Elizabeth Cutler 7.1% 9.6% 10.0% 10.7% 10.8% 11.3% 12.5% 14.1% 14.1%
Avery Canavan 8.3% 9.2% 9.8% 10.2% 12.1% 12.4% 13.0% 13.9% 11.1%
Cho-Cho Williams 8.3% 8.1% 8.5% 10.2% 11.5% 11.6% 11.7% 13.8% 16.4%
Adra Ivancich 11.1% 10.8% 12.4% 12.8% 12.0% 11.8% 11.7% 10.0% 7.3%
Gianna Dewey 9.0% 9.8% 12.1% 10.9% 11.6% 13.0% 11.6% 11.8% 10.2%
Lily Flack 8.2% 7.4% 9.2% 10.8% 11.6% 12.8% 12.8% 12.7% 14.5%
Aubin Hattendorf 6.2% 7.8% 6.2% 9.8% 10.3% 10.2% 13.4% 15.0% 21.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.