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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.47+1.26vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.78+1.32vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.60+0.46vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.58-0.50vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-1.83vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.03-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26College of Charleston2.4737.1%1st Place
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3.32U. S. Naval Academy1.7815.4%1st Place
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3.46College of Charleston1.6014.0%1st Place
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3.5University of Pennsylvania1.5812.5%1st Place
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3.17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7918.0%1st Place
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5.28George Washington University0.033.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Gonzalez | 37.1% | 26.2% | 18.1% | 11.9% | 5.4% | 1.4% |
| Tanner Kelly | 15.4% | 17.8% | 19.2% | 20.8% | 20.2% | 6.5% |
| Jonathan Weed | 14.0% | 16.2% | 18.9% | 20.3% | 21.9% | 8.7% |
| Cole Woodworth | 12.5% | 17.0% | 19.1% | 19.4% | 22.9% | 9.1% |
| Landon Cormie | 18.0% | 19.2% | 19.6% | 20.4% | 16.9% | 5.9% |
| Eva Wieting | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 12.8% | 68.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.