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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+3.63vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.83+3.50vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.82+6.48vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.20+4.04vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.02+3.56vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.73+4.02vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.33+0.50vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.08+0.33vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.24-1.00vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.80-0.60vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-0.21vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.71-2.10vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.97-3.93vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.51-3.15vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.98-6.14vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.88-6.68vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.24-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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5.5Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.48Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.04College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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8.56University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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10.02Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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7.5Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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8.33Stanford University3.080.1%1st Place
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8.0University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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9.4University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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10.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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9.9Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.07Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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10.85Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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8.86Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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9.32U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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14.74George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 18.6% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 13.3% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sky Adams | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 3.3% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 4.5% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Eliza Richartz | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Olivia Crane | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| Liana Folger | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 7.5% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 3.8% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 6.3% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 54.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.