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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+4.79vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.13+3.53vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.20-0.27vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.16+0.90vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.45-0.72vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-0.51vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.97-1.89vs Predicted
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8George Washington University0.93-2.83vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.52-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79St. Mary's College of Maryland0.676.7%1st Place
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5.53Fordham University1.137.6%1st Place
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2.73Georgetown University2.2029.8%1st Place
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4.9University of Pennsylvania1.169.8%1st Place
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4.28College of Charleston1.4513.9%1st Place
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5.49St. Mary's College of Maryland0.618.0%1st Place
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5.11Old Dominion University0.978.6%1st Place
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5.17George Washington University0.939.2%1st Place
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6.0U. S. Naval Academy0.526.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cho-Cho Williams | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 16.9% |
Elizabeth Cutler | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 14.3% |
Piper Holthus | 29.8% | 23.5% | 20.2% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Adra Ivancich | 9.8% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.0% |
Grace Squires | 13.9% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.0% |
Lily Flack | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 13.9% |
Gianna Dewey | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.5% |
Avery Canavan | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 10.5% |
Aubin Hattendorf | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.