← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.47+1.28vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania1.58+1.48vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston1.60+0.40vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-0.77vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy1.78-1.63vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University0.03-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.28College of Charleston2.4736.2%1st Place
-
3.48University of Pennsylvania1.5813.9%1st Place
-
3.4College of Charleston1.6014.6%1st Place
-
3.23St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7917.2%1st Place
-
3.37U. S. Naval Academy1.7814.8%1st Place
-
5.24George Washington University0.033.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Gonzalez | 36.2% | 26.1% | 18.9% | 11.8% | 5.8% | 1.1% |
| Cole Woodworth | 13.9% | 16.6% | 18.6% | 19.6% | 21.4% | 9.9% |
| Jonathan Weed | 14.6% | 17.2% | 17.7% | 21.5% | 21.9% | 7.2% |
| Landon Cormie | 17.2% | 18.4% | 19.6% | 20.3% | 18.1% | 6.3% |
| Tanner Kelly | 14.8% | 17.4% | 20.2% | 18.9% | 20.8% | 8.0% |
| Eva Wieting | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 67.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.