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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.82+8.24vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.73+7.83vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.20+4.99vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.33+3.49vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.97+3.66vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.83-0.11vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.71+3.00vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.80+1.31vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.02-0.06vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.24-2.30vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.10-6.10vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.88-2.76vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.98-3.96vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.51-3.16vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-4.34vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.08-7.49vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.24-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.24Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.83Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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7.99College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.49Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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8.66Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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5.89Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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10.0Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.31University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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8.94University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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7.7University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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4.9Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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9.04Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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10.84Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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10.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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8.51Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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14.74George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Adams | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 4.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 7.2% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 11.3% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.7% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Olivia Crane | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 17.5% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 2.8% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 7.2% |
| Liana Folger | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 6.8% |
| Eliza Richartz | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 55.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.