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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+1.75vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.16+2.68vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61+2.57vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.97+1.24vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.52+1.00vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.93-0.69vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-1.33vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.13-2.55vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.45-4.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75Georgetown University2.2029.9%1st Place
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4.68University of Pennsylvania1.1610.3%1st Place
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5.57St. Mary's College of Maryland0.616.2%1st Place
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5.24Old Dominion University0.978.9%1st Place
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6.0U. S. Naval Academy0.526.8%1st Place
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5.31George Washington University0.938.8%1st Place
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5.67St. Mary's College of Maryland0.678.0%1st Place
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5.45Fordham University1.137.7%1st Place
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4.33College of Charleston1.4513.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 29.9% | 22.9% | 18.6% | 12.6% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Adra Ivancich | 10.3% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.5% |
| Lily Flack | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 15.6% |
| Gianna Dewey | 8.9% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 10.4% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 21.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 11.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 16.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 12.8% |
| Grace Squires | 13.5% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.