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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+4.47vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.80+7.49vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.33+4.45vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.20+3.97vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.82+4.29vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.24+1.98vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+3.67vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.08+0.27vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.47vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.51+0.59vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.02-2.14vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.98-3.14vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.71-2.87vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.73-4.00vs Predicted
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15Yale University4.10-10.17vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.97-7.09vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.24-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.47Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.49University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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7.45Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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7.97College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.29Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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7.98University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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10.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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8.27Stanford University3.080.1%1st Place
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9.47U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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10.59Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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8.86University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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8.86Tufts University2.980.0%1st Place
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10.13Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.0Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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4.83Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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8.91Boston College2.970.0%1st Place
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14.76George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 14.5% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 3.0% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Sky Adams | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% |
| Olivia Crane | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Liana Folger | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 6.0% |
| Eliza Richartz | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 6.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 4.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 16.9% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 55.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.