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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1American University0.83+1.87vs Predicted
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2American University0.83+0.87vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.15-0.43vs Predicted
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4William and Mary2.13-2.30vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.15-3.43vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland0.80-4.14vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.15-5.43vs Predicted
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9American University0.83-6.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87American University0.830.1%1st Place
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2.87American University0.830.1%1st Place
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2.57Christopher Newport University1.150.2%1st Place
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1.7William and Mary2.130.5%1st Place
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2.57Christopher Newport University1.150.2%1st Place
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2.86University of Maryland0.800.1%1st Place
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2.57Christopher Newport University1.150.2%1st Place
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2.87American University0.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Hays | 14.0% | 21.1% | 28.8% | 36.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hays | 14.0% | 21.1% | 28.8% | 36.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Buhl | 19.7% | 26.5% | 30.8% | 23.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Clark | 52.9% | 29.3% | 12.7% | 5.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Buhl | 19.7% | 26.5% | 30.8% | 23.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yusuf Hafez | 13.4% | 23.1% | 27.7% | 35.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Buhl | 19.7% | 26.5% | 30.8% | 23.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hays | 14.0% | 21.1% | 28.8% | 36.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.