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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.13+4.55vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.45+2.43vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.16+1.86vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.20-1.21vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61+0.40vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.93-0.79vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-1.33vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.97-2.89vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.52-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55Fordham University1.137.0%1st Place
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4.43College of Charleston1.4512.4%1st Place
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4.86University of Pennsylvania1.169.8%1st Place
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2.79Georgetown University2.2030.8%1st Place
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5.4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.617.7%1st Place
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5.21George Washington University0.9310.1%1st Place
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5.67St. Mary's College of Maryland0.676.4%1st Place
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5.11Old Dominion University0.979.0%1st Place
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5.98U. S. Naval Academy0.526.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Elizabeth Cutler | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 14.6% |
Grace Squires | 12.4% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
Adra Ivancich | 9.8% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 7.2% |
Piper Holthus | 30.8% | 21.1% | 17.8% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
Lily Flack | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 12.3% |
Avery Canavan | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 12.0% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 6.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 16.4% |
Gianna Dewey | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% |
Aubin Hattendorf | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.