← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.47+1.28vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston1.60+1.45vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy1.78+0.29vs Predicted
-
4University of Pennsylvania1.58-0.48vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-1.80vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University0.03-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.28College of Charleston2.4735.0%1st Place
-
3.45College of Charleston1.6013.8%1st Place
-
3.29U. S. Naval Academy1.7817.2%1st Place
-
3.52University of Pennsylvania1.5813.9%1st Place
-
3.2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7917.3%1st Place
-
5.26George Washington University0.032.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Gonzalez | 35.0% | 27.5% | 20.0% | 11.2% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Jonathan Weed | 13.8% | 17.2% | 17.2% | 21.9% | 21.2% | 8.6% |
| Tanner Kelly | 17.2% | 17.4% | 19.5% | 18.6% | 19.1% | 8.1% |
| Cole Woodworth | 13.9% | 15.1% | 18.1% | 20.2% | 23.4% | 9.2% |
| Landon Cormie | 17.3% | 18.9% | 19.8% | 20.6% | 16.9% | 6.3% |
| Eva Wieting | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 14.2% | 66.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.