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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.15+1.52vs Predicted
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2William and Mary2.13-0.33vs Predicted
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3American University0.83-0.15vs Predicted
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4American University0.83-1.15vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland0.68-2.04vs Predicted
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7American University0.83-4.15vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.15-5.48vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.15-6.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52Christopher Newport University1.150.2%1st Place
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1.67William and Mary2.130.5%1st Place
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2.85American University0.830.1%1st Place
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2.85American University0.830.1%1st Place
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2.96University of Maryland0.680.1%1st Place
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2.85American University0.830.1%1st Place
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2.52Christopher Newport University1.150.2%1st Place
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2.52Christopher Newport University1.150.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Buhl | 20.5% | 29.3% | 28.0% | 22.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Clark | 53.7% | 29.5% | 13.1% | 3.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hays | 14.6% | 20.6% | 30.2% | 34.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hays | 14.6% | 20.6% | 30.2% | 34.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Rybczynski | 11.2% | 20.6% | 28.7% | 39.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hays | 14.6% | 20.6% | 30.2% | 34.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Buhl | 20.5% | 29.3% | 28.0% | 22.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Buhl | 20.5% | 29.3% | 28.0% | 22.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.