Race 15A

oyster-bowl-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Grace Squires 13.4% 13.1% 14.7% 13.4% 13.5% 11.2% 8.6% 7.8% 4.5%
Piper Holthus 31.9% 23.3% 17.2% 12.0% 7.6% 4.2% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4%
Elizabeth Cutler 7.4% 8.2% 10.0% 10.7% 10.9% 11.5% 13.8% 12.3% 15.2%
Gianna Dewey 8.5% 10.7% 11.2% 10.4% 11.3% 12.4% 12.2% 12.6% 10.6%
Lily Flack 7.8% 8.4% 9.4% 9.7% 10.7% 12.8% 12.8% 14.2% 14.3%
Adra Ivancich 9.7% 12.0% 11.6% 13.1% 13.0% 12.6% 11.9% 9.8% 6.3%
Avery Canavan 8.9% 9.0% 10.0% 11.2% 12.2% 13.0% 12.9% 11.5% 11.3%
Aubin Hattendorf 5.3% 7.6% 7.6% 8.2% 10.6% 11.2% 12.4% 15.4% 21.6%
Cho-Cho Williams 7.1% 7.6% 8.3% 11.3% 10.2% 11.2% 13.2% 15.2% 15.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.