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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1American University0.83+1.84vs Predicted
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2American University0.83+0.84vs Predicted
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3William and Mary2.13-1.34vs Predicted
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4American University0.83-1.16vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.15-2.44vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.15-3.44vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland0.68-5.06vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.15-6.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84American University0.830.2%1st Place
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2.84American University0.830.2%1st Place
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1.66William and Mary2.130.5%1st Place
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2.84American University0.830.2%1st Place
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2.56Christopher Newport University1.150.2%1st Place
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2.56Christopher Newport University1.150.2%1st Place
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2.94University of Maryland0.680.1%1st Place
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2.56Christopher Newport University1.150.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Hays | 15.4% | 20.2% | 29.6% | 34.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hays | 15.4% | 20.2% | 29.6% | 34.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Clark | 53.5% | 30.7% | 12.3% | 3.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hays | 15.4% | 20.2% | 29.6% | 34.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Buhl | 19.4% | 27.7% | 30.4% | 22.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Buhl | 19.4% | 27.7% | 30.4% | 22.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Rybczynski | 11.7% | 21.4% | 27.7% | 39.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Buhl | 19.4% | 27.7% | 30.4% | 22.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.