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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.45+3.32vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+0.82vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.97+2.24vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.52+2.01vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.13+0.45vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-0.53vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.16-2.20vs Predicted
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8George Washington University0.93-2.75vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.32College of Charleston1.4512.3%1st Place
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2.82Georgetown University2.2028.5%1st Place
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5.24Old Dominion University0.977.9%1st Place
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6.01U. S. Naval Academy0.526.9%1st Place
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5.45Fordham University1.138.2%1st Place
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5.47St. Mary's College of Maryland0.617.0%1st Place
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4.8University of Pennsylvania1.1611.8%1st Place
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5.25George Washington University0.939.5%1st Place
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5.63St. Mary's College of Maryland0.678.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Grace Squires | 12.3% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
Piper Holthus | 28.5% | 24.1% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
Gianna Dewey | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 10.2% |
Aubin Hattendorf | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 22.1% |
Elizabeth Cutler | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 14.2% |
Lily Flack | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 14.0% |
Adra Ivancich | 11.8% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 6.8% |
Avery Canavan | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 11.7% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.