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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.60+2.44vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.47+0.29vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.58+0.50vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.78-0.60vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-1.86vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.03-0.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44College of Charleston1.6012.8%1st Place
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2.29College of Charleston2.4734.3%1st Place
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3.5University of Pennsylvania1.5814.5%1st Place
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3.4U. S. Naval Academy1.7816.1%1st Place
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3.14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7918.8%1st Place
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5.22George Washington University0.033.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Weed | 12.8% | 18.4% | 18.6% | 21.7% | 19.2% | 9.2% |
| Alexander Gonzalez | 34.3% | 27.4% | 20.8% | 11.2% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Cole Woodworth | 14.5% | 15.1% | 17.2% | 20.4% | 23.8% | 8.9% |
| Tanner Kelly | 16.1% | 16.1% | 16.9% | 21.9% | 21.1% | 8.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 18.8% | 18.9% | 21.1% | 18.0% | 16.8% | 6.5% |
| Eva Wieting | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 14.0% | 66.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.