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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.45+3.25vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+3.73vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.20-0.17vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.93+1.33vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.97+0.13vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.13-0.54vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.16-2.15vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy0.52-2.06vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25College of Charleston1.4515.3%1st Place
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5.73St. Mary's College of Maryland0.676.0%1st Place
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2.83Georgetown University2.2027.7%1st Place
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5.33George Washington University0.938.0%1st Place
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5.13Old Dominion University0.979.7%1st Place
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5.46Fordham University1.137.6%1st Place
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4.85University of Pennsylvania1.1611.3%1st Place
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5.94U. S. Naval Academy0.526.7%1st Place
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5.48St. Mary's College of Maryland0.617.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Grace Squires | 15.3% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 16.1% |
Piper Holthus | 27.7% | 24.6% | 18.7% | 12.3% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
Avery Canavan | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 11.8% |
Gianna Dewey | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 9.8% |
Elizabeth Cutler | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 13.2% |
Adra Ivancich | 11.3% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% |
Aubin Hattendorf | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 21.0% |
Lily Flack | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.