Race 1A

sister-esther

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Tyler Nash 9.7% 9.2% 9.2% 7.3% 8.6% 8.3% 8.6% 7.8% 7.2% 6.7% 6.2% 4.2% 3.5% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Mathieu Dale 11.8% 12.8% 10.3% 9.9% 9.3% 8.2% 7.8% 8.1% 6.7% 5.1% 3.9% 3.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Adrian Winkelman 5.2% 6.6% 5.8% 5.9% 6.5% 7.6% 7.7% 7.1% 6.8% 7.5% 8.7% 7.7% 6.5% 6.7% 2.9% 0.9%
Emil Tullberg 6.0% 6.2% 5.9% 7.4% 7.0% 6.7% 6.6% 8.2% 8.2% 8.8% 8.5% 6.7% 6.4% 4.5% 2.8% 0.4%
Elliott Mendenhall 4.9% 4.8% 4.7% 5.5% 5.8% 6.9% 7.4% 6.6% 8.2% 7.8% 9.4% 8.6% 7.8% 6.6% 4.2% 1.1%
Jack Roman 7.8% 8.2% 9.0% 9.0% 8.5% 9.0% 8.3% 7.8% 7.3% 7.7% 5.2% 5.1% 3.8% 2.1% 1.1% 0.2%
Connor Macken 8.6% 8.2% 8.7% 8.0% 8.8% 7.2% 8.1% 7.8% 8.7% 7.0% 5.6% 6.4% 3.5% 2.3% 1.0% 0.2%
Blake Behrens 18.0% 15.4% 15.2% 12.0% 9.8% 8.2% 6.4% 4.6% 4.2% 2.9% 1.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
James Jagielski 2.4% 1.8% 2.4% 2.9% 3.6% 3.1% 3.5% 4.4% 4.9% 5.5% 6.2% 7.6% 11.3% 14.9% 15.8% 9.7%
Julian Henderson 1.9% 3.1% 2.4% 4.5% 3.4% 3.5% 4.5% 4.9% 5.2% 7.1% 6.9% 8.7% 10.8% 11.9% 13.6% 7.7%
Mathias Reimer 7.3% 8.1% 9.3% 9.2% 9.2% 9.0% 8.5% 6.9% 7.8% 6.6% 5.8% 4.3% 4.2% 2.5% 1.2% 0.1%
Fritz Baldauf 2.9% 2.9% 3.5% 3.4% 3.5% 4.6% 4.4% 6.1% 5.5% 5.9% 7.8% 9.7% 10.0% 12.2% 11.7% 6.0%
Andy Leshaw 1.8% 1.9% 1.8% 2.6% 2.4% 2.5% 3.0% 3.7% 3.8% 4.0% 5.5% 7.0% 10.3% 13.3% 20.8% 15.4%
Ian McCaffrey 0.4% 0.9% 0.8% 1.2% 1.1% 1.0% 1.9% 1.2% 1.2% 2.4% 2.5% 3.5% 4.1% 7.2% 15.2% 55.4%
Cooper Smith 4.3% 4.2% 4.6% 4.9% 5.2% 6.3% 5.5% 6.5% 7.1% 7.4% 8.6% 9.3% 9.7% 8.2% 6.3% 1.9%
Wyatt Bischoff 7.0% 6.0% 6.3% 6.1% 7.3% 7.7% 7.8% 8.3% 7.3% 7.8% 8.1% 6.8% 6.1% 4.2% 2.5% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.