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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.42+5.71vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.60+4.39vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.94+2.74vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.59+2.55vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.42+1.45vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.46+1.69vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.37-2.76vs Predicted
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8Olin College of Engineering0.22+3.00vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.27-1.45vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.84-0.99vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.59-3.14vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.97-3.60vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.60-2.67vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.41-3.60vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.71Brown University1.428.2%1st Place
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6.39Roger Williams University1.608.7%1st Place
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5.74Roger Williams University1.9410.1%1st Place
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6.55Yale University1.599.0%1st Place
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6.45University of Rhode Island1.428.6%1st Place
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7.69Salve Regina University0.465.8%1st Place
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4.24Brown University2.3718.1%1st Place
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11.0Olin College of Engineering0.222.5%1st Place
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7.55Tufts University1.276.2%1st Place
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9.01University of Vermont0.843.9%1st Place
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7.86Northeastern University1.596.6%1st Place
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8.4Boston University0.975.5%1st Place
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10.33Connecticut College0.602.9%1st Place
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10.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.411.9%1st Place
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11.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.032.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Macken | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Jack Roman | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Mathieu Dale | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Mathias Reimer | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Blake Behrens | 18.1% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 15.3% | 22.1% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Cooper Smith | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 5.3% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 3.6% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 14.0% |
| Julian Henderson | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 14.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 17.0% | 30.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.