← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University1.59+6.84vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont0.84+6.84vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island1.42+3.46vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College0.60+6.05vs Predicted
-
5Yale University1.59+1.56vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University0.46+1.55vs Predicted
-
7Brown University1.42-0.32vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University1.94-2.28vs Predicted
-
9Brown University2.37-4.69vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.41+0.59vs Predicted
-
11Olin College of Engineering0.22+0.05vs Predicted
-
12Boston University0.97-3.47vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.19vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University1.27-6.48vs Predicted
-
15Roger Williams University1.60-8.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.84Northeastern University1.596.8%1st Place
-
8.84University of Vermont0.844.8%1st Place
-
6.46University of Rhode Island1.428.6%1st Place
-
10.05Connecticut College0.603.5%1st Place
-
6.56Yale University1.598.0%1st Place
-
7.55Salve Regina University0.466.8%1st Place
-
6.68Brown University1.428.4%1st Place
-
5.72Roger Williams University1.9411.0%1st Place
-
4.31Brown University2.3717.0%1st Place
-
10.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.413.5%1st Place
-
11.05Olin College of Engineering0.222.5%1st Place
-
8.53Boston University0.974.2%1st Place
-
11.81Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.031.2%1st Place
-
7.52Tufts University1.276.2%1st Place
-
6.48Roger Williams University1.607.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Winkelman | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Cooper Smith | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 5.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 12.6% |
| Mathias Reimer | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Emil Tullberg | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Connor Macken | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Mathieu Dale | 11.0% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Blake Behrens | 17.0% | 16.3% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Julian Henderson | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 16.2% | 17.1% |
| James Jagielski | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 17.8% | 21.3% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 31.1% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Jack Roman | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.