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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.94+4.72vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.60+4.65vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.59+3.70vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.46+3.78vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.59+2.91vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.84+3.24vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.97+1.74vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+4.17vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering0.22+2.44vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.37-5.69vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.42-4.26vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.42-5.45vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.60-2.58vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.62-4.07vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97-0.85vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.27-8.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.72Roger Williams University1.9411.3%1st Place
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6.65Roger Williams University1.607.9%1st Place
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6.7Yale University1.598.7%1st Place
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7.78Salve Regina University0.465.8%1st Place
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7.91Northeastern University1.595.6%1st Place
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9.24University of Vermont0.843.9%1st Place
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8.74Boston University0.974.6%1st Place
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12.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.031.1%1st Place
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11.44Olin College of Engineering0.221.9%1st Place
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4.31Brown University2.3719.4%1st Place
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6.74Brown University1.427.9%1st Place
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6.55University of Rhode Island1.429.1%1st Place
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10.42Connecticut College0.602.5%1st Place
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9.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.623.1%1st Place
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14.15University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.970.7%1st Place
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7.56Tufts University1.276.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathieu Dale | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Mathias Reimer | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Cooper Smith | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 2.6% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 20.6% | 16.8% |
| James Jagielski | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 17.5% | 11.6% |
| Blake Behrens | 19.4% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Macken | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 5.6% |
| Gavin VanManen | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 4.2% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 14.6% | 54.4% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.