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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.94+4.76vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.59+4.69vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.46+4.84vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+8.13vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.42+1.89vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.27+1.61vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.60-0.55vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.62+1.98vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering0.22+2.30vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.42-3.37vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.37-6.74vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.97-3.39vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.84-3.86vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.60-3.48vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97-0.81vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.59-8.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.76Roger Williams University1.9411.2%1st Place
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6.69Yale University1.599.2%1st Place
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7.84Salve Regina University0.466.3%1st Place
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12.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.031.9%1st Place
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6.89Brown University1.427.4%1st Place
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7.61Tufts University1.275.7%1st Place
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6.45Roger Williams University1.608.8%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.623.1%1st Place
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11.3Olin College of Engineering0.221.6%1st Place
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6.63University of Rhode Island1.428.5%1st Place
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4.26Brown University2.3717.5%1st Place
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8.61Boston University0.974.7%1st Place
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9.14University of Vermont0.844.7%1st Place
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10.52Connecticut College0.602.6%1st Place
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14.19University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.970.8%1st Place
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7.99Northeastern University1.596.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mathieu Dale | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Mathias Reimer | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
Emil Tullberg | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
Andy Leshaw | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 21.9% | 16.5% |
Connor Macken | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
Wyatt Bischoff | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
Jack Roman | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
Gavin VanManen | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 4.5% |
James Jagielski | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 9.4% |
Tyler Nash | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Blake Behrens | 17.5% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Elliott Mendenhall | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
Cooper Smith | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 1.9% |
Fritz Baldauf | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 6.4% |
Ian McCaffrey | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 14.6% | 56.0% |
Adrian Winkelman | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.