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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.27+1.41vs Predicted
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2Columbia University1.99+2.79vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester0.09+6.35vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo0.79+3.80vs Predicted
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5University of Toronto0.95+2.34vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.73-2.75vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University1.40-0.89vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.13-1.17vs Predicted
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9Hamilton College0.85-1.48vs Predicted
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10Queen's University1.77-4.74vs Predicted
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11Colgate University0.89-3.37vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-0.06-2.29vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester0.09-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41Cornell University3.270.4%1st Place
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4.79Columbia University1.990.1%1st Place
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9.35University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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7.8University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
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7.34University of Toronto0.950.0%1st Place
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3.25Fordham University2.730.2%1st Place
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6.11Syracuse University1.400.1%1st Place
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6.83Webb Institute1.130.0%1st Place
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7.52Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
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5.26Queen's University1.770.1%1st Place
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7.63Colgate University0.890.0%1st Place
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9.71U. S. Military Academy-0.060.0%1st Place
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9.35University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Alley | 36.1% | 25.4% | 18.4% | 10.3% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Croll | 9.1% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Sellstrom | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 21.4% | 28.3% | 0.0% |
| Nick Ventrilla | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Chantal Hearst | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 20.9% | 21.7% | 18.0% | 16.1% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Murphy | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| James Codega | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| William McIvor | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sullivan | 9.0% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Gordon | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Stan Benarick | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 35.0% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Sellstrom | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 21.4% | 28.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.