Race 3A

north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Philip Alley 36.1% 24.9% 18.0% 10.9% 5.8% 2.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Sachs 21.0% 21.7% 17.4% 14.8% 10.4% 7.8% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeffrey Gordon 4.2% 4.1% 4.7% 6.0% 7.5% 7.4% 10.8% 11.4% 11.3% 13.4% 12.5% 6.7% 0.0%
Matthew Sullivan 6.4% 10.8% 10.3% 13.0% 13.9% 12.2% 11.3% 7.9% 7.5% 3.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.0%
James Codega 3.9% 5.3% 6.8% 7.8% 9.9% 10.2% 9.9% 12.7% 10.8% 10.2% 7.8% 4.7% 0.0%
Chantal Hearst 3.5% 4.4% 5.0% 7.2% 7.2% 8.9% 11.1% 10.9% 12.7% 13.1% 9.8% 6.2% 0.0%
Nick Ventrilla 3.5% 3.5% 6.4% 5.1% 7.6% 9.1% 9.1% 10.4% 11.8% 12.9% 12.3% 8.3% 0.0%
Andrew Murphy 6.1% 6.9% 8.9% 9.9% 10.3% 11.8% 10.6% 12.6% 10.0% 6.1% 4.0% 2.8% 0.0%
Phillip Sellstrom 1.5% 1.7% 1.8% 2.7% 3.9% 5.2% 6.8% 7.5% 9.1% 14.4% 18.0% 27.4% 0.0%
William McIvor 3.3% 3.8% 5.7% 6.1% 7.5% 9.2% 9.3% 10.0% 13.2% 12.5% 11.5% 7.9% 0.0%
John Croll 9.4% 11.1% 12.5% 13.5% 13.7% 12.2% 10.9% 7.3% 5.2% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Stan Benarick 1.1% 1.8% 2.5% 3.0% 2.3% 3.4% 4.7% 7.1% 7.8% 11.1% 20.3% 34.9% 0.0%
Phillip Sellstrom 1.5% 1.7% 1.8% 2.7% 3.9% 5.2% 6.8% 7.5% 9.1% 14.4% 18.0% 27.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.