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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.27+1.40vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.73+1.26vs Predicted
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3University of Buffalo0.79+4.80vs Predicted
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4Colgate University0.89+3.52vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College0.85+2.56vs Predicted
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6University of Toronto0.95+1.40vs Predicted
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7Queen's University1.77-1.78vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.13-1.20vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University1.40-2.91vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-0.06-0.36vs Predicted
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11Columbia University1.99-6.10vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester0.09-2.59vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester0.09-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Cornell University3.270.4%1st Place
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3.26Fordham University2.730.2%1st Place
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7.8University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
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7.52Colgate University0.890.0%1st Place
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7.56Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
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7.4University of Toronto0.950.0%1st Place
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5.22Queen's University1.770.1%1st Place
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6.8Webb Institute1.130.0%1st Place
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6.09Syracuse University1.400.1%1st Place
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9.64U. S. Military Academy-0.060.0%1st Place
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4.9Columbia University1.990.1%1st Place
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9.41University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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9.41University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Alley | 36.5% | 25.6% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 21.2% | 21.0% | 18.5% | 14.6% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Ventrilla | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Gordon | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| William McIvor | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Chantal Hearst | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sullivan | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| James Codega | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Murphy | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Stan Benarick | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 20.2% | 34.5% | 0.0% |
| John Croll | 8.9% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Sellstrom | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 19.2% | 29.7% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Sellstrom | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 19.2% | 29.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.