Race 8A

sister-esther

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Tyler Nash 8.0% 8.3% 8.1% 8.8% 9.8% 8.8% 7.5% 8.7% 7.5% 7.1% 6.0% 5.0% 3.8% 1.9% 0.6%
Adrian Winkelman 5.4% 5.9% 5.8% 6.7% 6.2% 6.8% 6.8% 7.0% 7.4% 9.0% 8.2% 8.1% 7.4% 6.6% 2.8%
Mathieu Dale 11.1% 10.1% 11.2% 9.6% 10.4% 10.2% 9.0% 7.2% 6.6% 5.0% 4.4% 2.6% 1.3% 1.1% 0.3%
Jack Roman 8.2% 8.2% 9.2% 8.9% 8.8% 8.6% 8.8% 6.8% 7.8% 6.4% 6.4% 5.9% 3.5% 2.1% 0.3%
Wyatt Bischoff 6.1% 5.9% 6.7% 7.9% 7.5% 6.5% 7.8% 7.6% 7.8% 8.3% 7.5% 7.0% 6.2% 4.6% 2.4%
Emil Tullberg 6.5% 6.3% 6.8% 7.1% 7.3% 7.0% 7.8% 7.5% 7.3% 7.3% 8.4% 7.6% 5.5% 5.1% 2.4%
Blake Behrens 18.8% 16.2% 14.2% 11.2% 9.6% 8.2% 7.4% 4.6% 4.0% 3.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Cooper Smith 4.3% 4.2% 5.0% 5.3% 5.0% 6.6% 5.9% 6.7% 7.8% 5.9% 7.7% 10.0% 10.2% 9.4% 6.0%
Elliott Mendenhall 5.2% 4.5% 4.6% 5.9% 5.3% 6.6% 5.9% 7.8% 7.5% 8.8% 8.8% 8.1% 8.6% 7.4% 5.0%
Connor Macken 8.3% 8.7% 8.5% 8.2% 7.3% 8.5% 7.8% 9.3% 8.0% 7.0% 6.2% 4.7% 4.0% 2.5% 1.1%
James Jagielski 1.9% 2.1% 2.6% 2.8% 2.9% 3.3% 3.9% 3.9% 5.5% 6.0% 6.2% 9.3% 11.8% 16.5% 21.2%
Mathias Reimer 8.2% 10.0% 8.3% 8.5% 8.6% 7.3% 8.5% 8.6% 6.9% 6.4% 6.7% 5.1% 3.9% 2.5% 0.8%
Gavin VanManen 2.9% 4.1% 3.9% 3.7% 4.7% 4.5% 5.2% 6.0% 6.8% 8.3% 6.4% 9.6% 11.6% 11.4% 10.9%
Fritz Baldauf 3.0% 3.4% 3.3% 3.2% 4.3% 4.7% 4.7% 5.1% 5.0% 5.9% 9.2% 9.8% 11.7% 13.3% 13.6%
Andy Leshaw 1.9% 2.1% 1.8% 2.2% 2.3% 2.6% 2.9% 3.0% 4.3% 5.1% 6.5% 6.6% 10.1% 15.7% 32.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.