Race 9A

sister-esther

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Wyatt Bischoff 5.6% 5.9% 5.8% 6.6% 6.9% 7.8% 7.6% 8.4% 8.0% 8.5% 8.4% 7.1% 6.3% 4.8% 2.4%
Mason Stang 14.1% 12.7% 11.5% 11.5% 10.2% 9.0% 7.6% 7.2% 5.3% 3.4% 3.6% 1.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Adrian Winkelman 4.8% 4.8% 5.9% 6.0% 7.1% 7.1% 6.9% 6.6% 8.0% 9.4% 8.5% 9.3% 7.5% 5.4% 2.7%
Mathias Reimer 8.2% 8.1% 8.4% 9.3% 8.8% 8.8% 7.4% 7.8% 7.7% 7.0% 5.5% 5.5% 3.7% 2.6% 0.9%
Blake Behrens 18.4% 13.7% 13.7% 10.7% 10.6% 8.0% 7.6% 6.2% 4.0% 2.9% 2.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Andy Leshaw 1.7% 1.8% 2.3% 2.5% 2.3% 2.5% 3.0% 4.1% 3.6% 4.5% 5.5% 8.5% 10.3% 17.0% 30.4%
Emil Tullberg 4.2% 6.2% 6.3% 5.7% 7.6% 8.2% 7.2% 7.4% 8.2% 8.3% 8.6% 7.2% 7.0% 5.8% 1.9%
Cooper Smith 3.7% 5.0% 5.4% 4.3% 5.0% 6.2% 6.6% 7.3% 6.0% 8.2% 9.0% 8.6% 10.1% 8.8% 6.0%
Fritz Baldauf 3.1% 2.8% 2.8% 4.5% 3.1% 3.4% 5.0% 5.1% 5.9% 6.1% 8.1% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 14.1%
Jack Roman 8.3% 8.0% 7.9% 8.6% 8.5% 8.0% 8.6% 7.7% 7.8% 7.2% 7.0% 5.5% 3.7% 2.1% 1.1%
Elliott Mendenhall 4.2% 4.8% 5.7% 5.4% 5.9% 5.9% 7.6% 7.3% 7.6% 7.7% 7.1% 9.6% 9.2% 6.3% 5.7%
Mathieu Dale 11.5% 11.8% 9.7% 10.7% 8.3% 8.6% 8.3% 7.4% 7.3% 5.4% 5.1% 2.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.5%
Tyler Nash 7.4% 8.6% 9.2% 8.6% 9.7% 8.2% 7.4% 7.5% 8.2% 6.9% 6.0% 5.5% 3.6% 2.2% 0.9%
Gavin VanManen 3.2% 3.7% 3.0% 3.5% 3.5% 4.5% 5.9% 5.8% 7.2% 7.8% 9.2% 9.0% 11.3% 12.4% 9.8%
James Jagielski 1.4% 2.3% 2.5% 2.1% 2.5% 3.8% 3.1% 4.2% 5.1% 6.6% 6.1% 8.2% 11.7% 16.9% 23.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.