Race 5A

north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alexander Sachs 19.4% 21.0% 20.2% 14.8% 10.4% 5.4% 4.6% 2.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Ventrilla 2.8% 3.4% 4.9% 5.7% 8.0% 8.0% 9.8% 10.5% 12.7% 14.7% 12.3% 7.2% 0.0%
Philip Alley 35.4% 26.7% 16.8% 11.2% 5.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeffrey Gordon 2.9% 3.6% 5.6% 5.4% 9.3% 8.1% 10.2% 11.8% 11.5% 12.7% 12.0% 6.9% 0.0%
William McIvor 3.0% 4.4% 4.8% 6.2% 8.0% 9.3% 10.4% 8.1% 12.7% 11.7% 11.8% 9.6% 0.0%
James Codega 4.5% 4.6% 7.2% 8.4% 7.6% 10.2% 10.9% 11.7% 12.4% 10.4% 7.8% 4.3% 0.0%
Phillip Sellstrom 2.1% 2.3% 2.0% 3.2% 3.8% 5.4% 6.3% 7.4% 8.7% 11.3% 18.5% 29.0% 0.0%
John Croll 11.1% 13.6% 12.0% 12.7% 13.3% 12.9% 9.2% 6.3% 4.4% 2.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Stan Benarick 1.5% 1.3% 1.7% 2.5% 2.9% 3.8% 6.2% 8.1% 9.0% 12.1% 17.8% 33.1% 0.0%
Andrew Murphy 6.2% 6.3% 8.2% 9.6% 10.4% 13.3% 10.8% 12.0% 8.8% 7.0% 5.5% 1.9% 0.0%
Chantal Hearst 3.5% 3.9% 4.4% 7.4% 7.9% 10.4% 8.6% 11.2% 11.7% 12.7% 11.4% 6.9% 0.0%
Matthew Sullivan 7.6% 8.9% 12.2% 12.9% 12.5% 11.1% 11.9% 9.6% 7.0% 4.2% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Phillip Sellstrom 2.1% 2.3% 2.0% 3.2% 3.8% 5.4% 6.3% 7.4% 8.7% 11.3% 18.5% 29.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.