Race 10A

sister-esther

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Mason Stang 14.4% 12.8% 12.2% 11.4% 11.0% 8.6% 7.8% 6.7% 4.9% 4.3% 2.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Wyatt Bischoff 5.3% 6.2% 5.7% 6.5% 7.0% 8.6% 7.1% 8.0% 7.6% 8.8% 8.6% 7.5% 6.8% 4.1% 2.3%
Blake Behrens 17.1% 14.9% 12.4% 11.9% 10.8% 8.6% 7.1% 5.6% 4.2% 3.5% 2.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Elliott Mendenhall 5.1% 4.3% 4.5% 5.2% 5.5% 5.8% 7.5% 6.6% 7.5% 8.5% 8.9% 8.8% 9.6% 8.2% 4.0%
Jack Roman 8.2% 9.2% 8.4% 8.1% 9.1% 8.0% 7.4% 9.3% 7.7% 7.2% 6.8% 4.2% 3.9% 1.7% 0.9%
Tyler Nash 7.8% 7.9% 8.5% 8.6% 8.2% 9.0% 8.2% 7.8% 9.0% 7.1% 6.0% 4.7% 3.7% 2.5% 1.0%
Adrian Winkelman 5.9% 6.2% 5.9% 6.0% 5.7% 6.3% 8.2% 7.4% 7.3% 8.8% 7.9% 8.8% 6.7% 5.9% 3.1%
Emil Tullberg 5.6% 5.7% 7.0% 6.5% 7.1% 8.1% 7.6% 7.5% 8.6% 6.9% 8.2% 7.4% 7.5% 4.2% 2.1%
Mathias Reimer 6.8% 7.8% 9.4% 8.9% 8.0% 8.2% 8.2% 9.0% 7.0% 7.5% 7.4% 5.3% 3.3% 2.4% 0.9%
Cooper Smith 3.7% 4.1% 4.5% 4.9% 5.3% 5.7% 5.0% 6.9% 8.4% 7.5% 7.9% 10.3% 9.8% 10.2% 5.8%
Fritz Baldauf 2.3% 2.5% 2.9% 3.4% 3.9% 4.2% 5.2% 5.1% 5.5% 7.3% 7.8% 10.2% 12.2% 14.2% 13.6%
Mathieu Dale 10.5% 10.9% 11.2% 10.1% 8.9% 9.3% 8.8% 8.1% 6.1% 5.8% 4.5% 2.9% 1.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Gavin VanManen 3.5% 3.3% 3.8% 4.2% 4.5% 3.9% 5.8% 5.2% 7.0% 6.9% 8.3% 9.8% 10.3% 12.8% 10.4%
Andy Leshaw 1.7% 2.1% 1.9% 2.2% 2.2% 2.5% 2.9% 2.6% 4.3% 3.9% 6.2% 7.5% 11.7% 16.2% 31.9%
James Jagielski 2.0% 1.9% 1.8% 2.2% 2.8% 3.4% 3.1% 4.2% 4.9% 6.0% 6.6% 9.2% 11.7% 16.2% 23.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.