Race 6A

north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alexander Sachs 21.3% 18.2% 19.7% 16.9% 10.3% 5.8% 4.5% 2.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Philip Alley 35.9% 28.0% 16.1% 9.7% 6.0% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Ventrilla 2.8% 4.9% 4.2% 5.5% 6.0% 8.2% 9.5% 9.8% 13.0% 15.3% 13.0% 7.8% 0.0%
Phillip Sellstrom 0.8% 1.7% 2.1% 2.8% 4.1% 5.3% 5.1% 9.1% 9.5% 12.2% 18.1% 29.2% 0.0%
John Croll 10.2% 11.0% 15.2% 14.0% 11.2% 13.0% 8.9% 6.9% 4.8% 2.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
William McIvor 3.0% 4.0% 4.9% 6.1% 6.8% 9.1% 9.0% 12.0% 12.1% 13.5% 12.6% 6.9% 0.0%
Jeffrey Gordon 3.9% 5.2% 4.4% 6.0% 9.0% 9.0% 11.1% 10.9% 10.7% 11.9% 11.3% 6.6% 0.0%
James Codega 4.4% 5.6% 7.1% 7.2% 9.3% 10.7% 10.2% 12.0% 11.7% 10.5% 6.9% 4.4% 0.0%
Chantal Hearst 3.3% 4.3% 4.4% 7.4% 9.4% 9.9% 12.7% 11.5% 12.6% 9.7% 9.9% 4.9% 0.0%
Matthew Sullivan 8.4% 9.3% 11.6% 12.3% 13.8% 11.9% 11.7% 8.0% 5.3% 3.9% 3.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Phillip Sellstrom 0.8% 1.7% 2.1% 2.8% 4.1% 5.3% 5.1% 9.1% 9.5% 12.2% 18.1% 29.2% 0.0%
Andrew Murphy 4.8% 5.9% 8.1% 9.4% 11.2% 11.2% 11.8% 11.6% 10.0% 8.4% 5.0% 2.6% 0.0%
Stan Benarick 1.2% 1.9% 2.2% 2.7% 2.9% 3.1% 4.4% 5.8% 9.1% 11.8% 18.2% 36.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.