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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University1.99+3.80vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.73+1.25vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.13+3.91vs Predicted
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4University of Toronto0.95+3.40vs Predicted
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5Colgate University0.89+2.49vs Predicted
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6Queen's University1.77-0.72vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University1.40-0.87vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester0.09+1.31vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo0.79-2.37vs Predicted
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11University of Rochester0.09-1.69vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-0.06-2.40vs Predicted
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13Hamilton College0.85-5.22vs Predicted
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14Cornell University3.27-11.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Columbia University1.990.1%1st Place
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3.25Fordham University2.730.2%1st Place
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6.91Webb Institute1.130.1%1st Place
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7.4University of Toronto0.950.0%1st Place
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7.49Colgate University0.890.0%1st Place
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5.28Queen's University1.770.1%1st Place
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6.13Syracuse University1.400.1%1st Place
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9.31University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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7.63University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
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9.31University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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9.6U. S. Military Academy-0.060.0%1st Place
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7.78Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
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2.44Cornell University3.270.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Croll | 9.7% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 19.6% | 23.6% | 20.0% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Codega | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Chantal Hearst | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Gordon | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sullivan | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Murphy | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Sellstrom | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 19.7% | 28.9% | 0.0% |
| Nick Ventrilla | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Sellstrom | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 19.7% | 28.9% | 0.0% |
| Stan Benarick | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 20.9% | 34.0% | 0.0% |
| William McIvor | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Philip Alley | 36.4% | 25.6% | 15.7% | 10.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.