Race 8A

north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Philip Alley 35.6% 26.4% 18.8% 9.6% 5.1% 2.4% 1.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chantal Hearst 2.9% 3.8% 5.9% 7.6% 7.5% 10.1% 8.7% 11.3% 13.5% 12.7% 10.1% 5.9% 0.0%
Alexander Sachs 22.2% 20.5% 17.3% 16.6% 10.7% 7.0% 2.6% 1.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
John Croll 8.7% 12.1% 15.6% 13.4% 12.5% 12.4% 10.7% 6.4% 4.4% 2.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Andrew Murphy 4.4% 7.8% 9.0% 10.1% 9.4% 12.2% 11.0% 10.8% 8.6% 8.7% 5.8% 2.2% 0.0%
Matthew Sullivan 8.6% 9.4% 9.9% 13.4% 11.7% 12.8% 11.6% 8.9% 6.5% 4.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Jeffrey Gordon 4.1% 3.8% 5.0% 5.9% 9.8% 7.8% 9.2% 12.4% 13.0% 10.6% 10.8% 7.6% 0.0%
Phillip Sellstrom 1.2% 2.3% 3.1% 4.0% 3.7% 4.4% 6.0% 7.0% 8.5% 11.9% 20.5% 27.4% 0.0%
Nick Ventrilla 2.8% 2.8% 3.9% 6.2% 9.0% 8.7% 11.6% 11.0% 12.3% 12.5% 11.5% 7.7% 0.0%
James Codega 4.6% 5.2% 6.3% 6.6% 10.0% 9.6% 11.4% 12.1% 12.6% 10.0% 7.1% 4.5% 0.0%
Stan Benarick 1.7% 1.3% 1.2% 1.9% 3.2% 4.5% 4.5% 5.9% 9.5% 10.6% 18.9% 36.8% 0.0%
Phillip Sellstrom 1.2% 2.3% 3.1% 4.0% 3.7% 4.4% 6.0% 7.0% 8.5% 11.9% 20.5% 27.4% 0.0%
William McIvor 3.2% 4.6% 4.0% 4.7% 7.4% 8.1% 11.4% 11.8% 10.0% 15.4% 12.4% 7.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.