Race 2B

north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Duncan Howes 28.5% 24.3% 17.7% 13.2% 7.5% 4.6% 2.8% 0.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Arielle Morgan 8.7% 10.7% 13.2% 11.5% 13.5% 12.5% 12.7% 9.1% 5.3% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
David Coplon 16.9% 15.9% 15.1% 14.0% 13.5% 10.7% 5.8% 5.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Miller 6.3% 7.4% 9.5% 11.3% 12.3% 12.0% 15.0% 11.6% 9.0% 4.4% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Reynolds 14.0% 16.1% 14.3% 14.9% 13.4% 9.1% 8.4% 5.2% 3.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kathryn Luly 4.9% 5.4% 7.6% 7.8% 8.1% 11.7% 13.4% 16.8% 13.4% 7.3% 3.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Douglas Zangre 9.1% 9.6% 9.0% 11.2% 12.2% 13.6% 12.3% 10.9% 7.5% 3.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Chase Jackson 7.0% 5.0% 7.9% 8.8% 9.6% 12.4% 14.1% 13.5% 12.6% 6.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Kathryn Luly 4.9% 5.4% 7.6% 7.8% 8.1% 11.7% 13.4% 16.8% 13.4% 7.3% 3.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Patrick Stege 1.0% 0.6% 1.1% 0.7% 1.3% 2.7% 3.2% 4.9% 10.2% 21.7% 29.2% 23.4% 0.0%
David Geer 2.4% 3.0% 3.4% 4.6% 5.4% 7.8% 7.0% 13.6% 20.7% 19.3% 9.6% 3.2% 0.0%
Jack Cartwright 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.9% 1.6% 1.5% 3.3% 4.9% 7.9% 18.1% 28.2% 30.9% 0.0%
Gloria Mak 0.3% 1.0% 0.4% 1.1% 1.6% 1.4% 2.0% 2.9% 7.1% 15.7% 25.2% 41.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.