← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island1.42+5.21vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University1.24+4.64vs Predicted
-
3Yale University1.70+2.77vs Predicted
-
4Brown University1.72+1.10vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.51+1.01vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University1.01+1.48vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University0.97+2.22vs Predicted
-
8Brown University1.85-3.27vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College0.71-0.63vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.25+0.10vs Predicted
-
11Boston University0.56-2.24vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-2.57vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont-0.44-0.87vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University0.46-4.11vs Predicted
-
15Olin College of Engineering-0.92-1.75vs Predicted
-
16Fairfield University-0.74-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.21University of Rhode Island1.4210.5%1st Place
-
6.64Roger Williams University1.248.3%1st Place
-
5.77Yale University1.7011.5%1st Place
-
5.1Brown University1.7213.0%1st Place
-
6.01Tufts University1.519.4%1st Place
-
7.48Roger Williams University1.016.8%1st Place
-
9.22Salve Regina University0.973.2%1st Place
-
4.73Brown University1.8513.6%1st Place
-
8.37Connecticut College0.715.1%1st Place
-
10.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.253.0%1st Place
-
8.76Boston University0.564.8%1st Place
-
9.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.333.6%1st Place
-
12.13University of Vermont-0.441.4%1st Place
-
9.89Northeastern University0.463.0%1st Place
-
13.25Olin College of Engineering-0.921.5%1st Place
-
12.91Fairfield University-0.741.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Lee | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| William Bailey | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Alex Adams | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Simpson | 13.0% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clark Morris | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Luke Hosek | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Laura Hamilton | 13.6% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wade Anthony | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Allison Nystrom | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 4.0% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
| Greer Page | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 19.2% |
| Aidan Boni | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 4.0% |
| Rohan Shah | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 17.9% | 35.2% |
| Timothy Cronin | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 19.8% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.