Race 3B

north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Arielle Morgan 9.4% 12.3% 10.0% 12.5% 13.1% 14.7% 11.2% 9.1% 4.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
David Coplon 15.1% 16.8% 16.4% 15.8% 13.9% 9.2% 6.9% 3.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Reynolds 15.4% 15.2% 15.9% 14.9% 13.4% 10.2% 8.2% 4.0% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Duncan Howes 31.3% 24.5% 17.6% 11.1% 7.8% 4.0% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kathryn Luly 5.2% 4.2% 8.3% 8.5% 10.4% 13.3% 11.9% 13.8% 13.1% 8.2% 2.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Douglas Zangre 8.0% 9.5% 10.4% 11.3% 12.7% 13.7% 11.6% 12.5% 6.8% 3.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Miller 7.9% 8.6% 10.3% 11.2% 12.6% 10.5% 13.3% 11.3% 8.4% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Kathryn Luly 5.2% 4.2% 8.3% 8.5% 10.4% 13.3% 11.9% 13.8% 13.1% 8.2% 2.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Patrick Stege 0.3% 1.1% 1.0% 1.7% 2.1% 3.3% 4.4% 5.4% 11.5% 17.8% 27.5% 23.9% 0.0%
David Geer 2.0% 2.6% 3.1% 4.2% 5.7% 8.1% 11.7% 14.4% 19.7% 18.5% 7.5% 2.5% 0.0%
Margaret McMullen 3.8% 3.8% 5.5% 6.2% 6.2% 9.2% 11.9% 15.7% 18.9% 10.9% 6.4% 1.5% 0.0%
Jack Cartwright 1.1% 0.6% 1.0% 1.2% 1.5% 2.0% 3.0% 5.3% 7.4% 18.3% 29.0% 29.6% 0.0%
Gloria Mak 0.5% 0.8% 0.5% 1.4% 0.6% 1.8% 3.0% 4.1% 5.7% 15.2% 24.7% 41.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.