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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.70+4.68vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.72+3.05vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.42+3.14vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.01+3.43vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.51+0.82vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.24+0.79vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+2.71vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.97+1.18vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.71-0.78vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.85-5.14vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont-0.44+1.19vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.46-1.86vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.25-2.99vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.56-5.59vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University-0.74-1.89vs Predicted
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16Olin College of Engineering-0.92-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Yale University1.7011.8%1st Place
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5.05Brown University1.7213.6%1st Place
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6.14University of Rhode Island1.429.2%1st Place
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7.43Roger Williams University1.016.2%1st Place
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5.82Tufts University1.5111.5%1st Place
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6.79Roger Williams University1.247.3%1st Place
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9.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.333.1%1st Place
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9.18Salve Regina University0.973.4%1st Place
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8.22Connecticut College0.715.1%1st Place
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4.86Brown University1.8515.2%1st Place
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12.19University of Vermont-0.441.3%1st Place
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10.14Northeastern University0.462.7%1st Place
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10.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.252.5%1st Place
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8.41Boston University0.565.4%1st Place
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13.11Fairfield University-0.741.0%1st Place
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13.26Olin College of Engineering-0.920.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Adams | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Ethan Simpson | 13.6% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Henry Lee | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hosek | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Clark Morris | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| William Bailey | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Wade Anthony | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Laura Hamilton | 15.2% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Greer Page | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 18.9% | 16.9% |
| Aidan Boni | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 4.3% |
| Allison Nystrom | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 4.3% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Timothy Cronin | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 19.1% | 28.8% |
| Rohan Shah | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 19.1% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.