← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University1.70+4.75vs Predicted
-
2Brown University1.72+3.10vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.51+2.98vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island1.42+2.16vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University1.24+1.77vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University0.97+3.17vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.01+0.46vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+1.62vs Predicted
-
9Brown University1.85-4.19vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.25+0.07vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College0.71-2.74vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont-0.44+0.04vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University0.46-2.98vs Predicted
-
14Fairfield University-0.74-1.22vs Predicted
-
15Boston University0.56-6.28vs Predicted
-
16Olin College of Engineering-0.92-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.75Yale University1.7010.4%1st Place
-
5.1Brown University1.7214.5%1st Place
-
5.98Tufts University1.519.9%1st Place
-
6.16University of Rhode Island1.4210.0%1st Place
-
6.77Roger Williams University1.248.0%1st Place
-
9.17Salve Regina University0.974.7%1st Place
-
7.46Roger Williams University1.015.9%1st Place
-
9.62Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.334.0%1st Place
-
4.81Brown University1.8513.9%1st Place
-
10.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.252.9%1st Place
-
8.26Connecticut College0.715.3%1st Place
-
12.04University of Vermont-0.441.6%1st Place
-
10.02Northeastern University0.462.3%1st Place
-
12.78Fairfield University-0.741.5%1st Place
-
8.72Boston University0.564.2%1st Place
-
13.29Olin College of Engineering-0.921.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Adams | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Simpson | 14.5% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Clark Morris | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Henry Lee | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| William Bailey | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
| Luke Hosek | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Laura Hamilton | 13.9% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allison Nystrom | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 4.9% |
| Wade Anthony | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Greer Page | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 16.8% | 18.0% |
| Aidan Boni | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 3.9% |
| Timothy Cronin | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 20.2% | 25.9% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Rohan Shah | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 19.2% | 37.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.