← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University2.77+1.70vs Predicted
-
2Columbia University2.13+1.84vs Predicted
-
3Queen's University1.64+1.82vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University2.04+0.03vs Predicted
-
5Webb Institute1.45+0.28vs Predicted
-
6University of Rochester0.99+0.32vs Predicted
-
7University of Rochester0.99-0.68vs Predicted
-
8Colgate University0.58-0.89vs Predicted
-
9University of Buffalo1.34-3.58vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Military Academy0.26-2.15vs Predicted
-
11University of Toronto-1.22-0.57vs Predicted
-
12Hamilton College-0.98-1.82vs Predicted
-
13Syracuse University-0.88-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.7Cornell University2.770.3%1st Place
-
3.84Columbia University2.130.2%1st Place
-
4.82Queen's University1.640.1%1st Place
-
4.03Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
-
5.28Webb Institute1.450.1%1st Place
-
6.32University of Rochester0.990.1%1st Place
-
6.32University of Rochester0.990.1%1st Place
-
7.11Colgate University0.580.0%1st Place
-
5.42University of Buffalo1.340.1%1st Place
-
7.85U. S. Military Academy0.260.0%1st Place
-
10.43University of Toronto-1.220.0%1st Place
-
10.18Hamilton College-0.980.0%1st Place
-
10.03Syracuse University-0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Howes | 28.6% | 26.3% | 18.2% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Coplon | 15.1% | 18.6% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arielle Morgan | 11.6% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Reynolds | 14.1% | 15.5% | 16.3% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Zangre | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Margaret McMullen | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 16.9% | 18.6% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Luke Miller | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Geer | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 16.0% | 18.6% | 19.0% | 7.8% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Gloria Mak | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 15.9% | 24.5% | 39.9% | 0.0% |
| Jack Cartwright | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 18.5% | 28.9% | 29.5% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Stege | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 20.1% | 27.7% | 26.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.