Race 6B

north-spring-qualifier

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Duncan Howes 29.8% 24.9% 18.7% 12.2% 7.2% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Reynolds 13.8% 16.8% 15.7% 15.0% 12.3% 10.4% 7.9% 5.0% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
David Coplon 18.1% 14.1% 16.9% 13.6% 14.7% 10.4% 7.1% 3.9% 1.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Arielle Morgan 8.1% 12.2% 11.0% 15.1% 13.2% 11.8% 13.2% 7.9% 5.5% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Kathryn Luly 4.7% 5.7% 7.8% 8.9% 9.8% 11.5% 14.1% 13.3% 12.3% 8.8% 2.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Douglas Zangre 8.4% 9.8% 9.0% 11.2% 11.8% 14.3% 12.8% 12.2% 6.6% 3.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Margaret McMullen 3.7% 4.3% 4.9% 6.1% 8.5% 9.2% 10.1% 15.9% 19.0% 10.8% 5.6% 1.9% 0.0%
Luke Miller 9.1% 7.3% 10.9% 10.1% 11.1% 13.6% 12.9% 11.6% 8.8% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Kathryn Luly 4.7% 5.7% 7.8% 8.9% 9.8% 11.5% 14.1% 13.3% 12.3% 8.8% 2.6% 0.5% 0.0%
David Geer 2.3% 2.2% 2.7% 3.8% 6.1% 8.8% 11.1% 15.1% 19.2% 18.2% 8.2% 2.3% 0.0%
Jack Cartwright 0.4% 1.0% 0.9% 2.1% 2.5% 2.0% 2.4% 5.0% 10.3% 17.9% 28.6% 26.9% 0.0%
Patrick Stege 1.2% 0.8% 0.9% 1.2% 1.6% 1.9% 3.9% 5.8% 7.9% 20.8% 26.8% 27.2% 0.0%
Gloria Mak 0.4% 0.9% 0.6% 0.7% 1.2% 2.0% 2.6% 3.6% 6.3% 15.0% 25.8% 40.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.