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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.51+4.95vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.70+3.76vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.42+3.12vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.01+3.60vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.85-0.17vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-0.44+5.78vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.24-0.18vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.25+2.12vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.71-0.60vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.72-4.92vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.97-1.97vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-2.54vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.56-4.23vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University-0.74-1.00vs Predicted
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15Olin College of Engineering-0.92-1.67vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.46-6.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95Tufts University1.519.7%1st Place
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5.76Yale University1.7010.1%1st Place
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6.12University of Rhode Island1.429.4%1st Place
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7.6Roger Williams University1.015.9%1st Place
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4.83Brown University1.8514.4%1st Place
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11.78University of Vermont-0.442.2%1st Place
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6.82Roger Williams University1.247.8%1st Place
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10.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.253.2%1st Place
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8.4Connecticut College0.715.5%1st Place
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5.08Brown University1.7213.8%1st Place
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9.03Salve Regina University0.975.1%1st Place
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9.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.333.6%1st Place
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8.77Boston University0.564.3%1st Place
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13.0Fairfield University-0.741.3%1st Place
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13.33Olin College of Engineering-0.921.1%1st Place
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9.96Northeastern University0.462.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Morris | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alex Adams | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Henry Lee | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Luke Hosek | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Laura Hamilton | 14.4% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greer Page | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 17.0% | 15.8% |
| William Bailey | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Allison Nystrom | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 5.3% |
| Wade Anthony | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Ethan Simpson | 13.8% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 2.0% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 3.1% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Timothy Cronin | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 19.9% | 29.1% |
| Rohan Shah | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 11.5% | 19.8% | 36.4% |
| Aidan Boni | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.