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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.42+5.09vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College0.71+6.41vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.85+1.79vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.72+1.18vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.70+0.83vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.01+1.55vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.24-0.30vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32+1.70vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont-0.44+3.22vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.97-0.92vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.51-5.07vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.56-3.21vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-3.29vs Predicted
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14Olin College of Engineering-0.92-0.66vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.46-5.15vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University-0.74-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.09University of Rhode Island1.429.8%1st Place
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8.41Connecticut College0.715.0%1st Place
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4.79Brown University1.8515.4%1st Place
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5.18Brown University1.7212.5%1st Place
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5.83Yale University1.7011.2%1st Place
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7.55Roger Williams University1.016.1%1st Place
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6.7Roger Williams University1.246.9%1st Place
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9.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.324.0%1st Place
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12.22University of Vermont-0.441.1%1st Place
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9.08Salve Regina University0.974.2%1st Place
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5.93Tufts University1.5110.8%1st Place
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8.79Boston University0.564.3%1st Place
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9.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.332.8%1st Place
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13.34Olin College of Engineering-0.921.1%1st Place
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9.85Northeastern University0.463.2%1st Place
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12.81Fairfield University-0.741.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Lee | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Wade Anthony | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 15.4% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Simpson | 12.5% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alex Adams | 11.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Luke Hosek | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| William Bailey | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Odell | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 3.5% |
| Greer Page | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 20.3% | 18.3% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Clark Morris | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 3.3% |
| Rohan Shah | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 12.2% | 16.8% | 37.6% |
| Aidan Boni | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 3.5% |
| Timothy Cronin | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 19.9% | 27.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.