Race 7B

north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Duncan Howes 29.4% 26.0% 18.1% 10.3% 9.4% 3.6% 1.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arielle Morgan 8.9% 11.2% 14.4% 13.0% 12.1% 12.6% 11.5% 9.8% 4.4% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Reynolds 15.4% 15.3% 14.3% 15.8% 11.3% 12.4% 8.3% 5.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
David Coplon 15.1% 18.3% 15.7% 15.8% 11.4% 10.5% 7.1% 4.4% 0.9% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Douglas Zangre 8.8% 7.9% 10.1% 11.9% 13.3% 12.9% 12.6% 10.4% 7.1% 3.5% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
David Geer 2.4% 2.5% 3.8% 4.5% 5.5% 6.7% 8.6% 14.2% 20.0% 18.4% 10.9% 2.5% 0.0%
Patrick Stege 1.2% 0.8% 1.3% 1.5% 2.7% 2.0% 4.5% 5.7% 9.9% 20.0% 25.7% 24.7% 0.0%
Kathryn Luly 6.8% 4.8% 6.8% 8.2% 11.1% 11.6% 12.4% 14.5% 13.9% 6.2% 3.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Kathryn Luly 6.8% 4.8% 6.8% 8.2% 11.1% 11.6% 12.4% 14.5% 13.9% 6.2% 3.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Margaret McMullen 3.1% 3.0% 4.6% 5.6% 8.6% 11.2% 12.4% 15.8% 18.4% 13.0% 3.2% 1.1% 0.0%
Luke Miller 7.5% 8.7% 9.3% 11.5% 11.6% 12.7% 14.9% 11.7% 7.5% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Gloria Mak 0.9% 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 1.8% 3.0% 2.9% 7.6% 14.4% 25.6% 40.7% 0.0%
Jack Cartwright 0.5% 0.8% 1.0% 1.1% 2.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.6% 8.0% 18.1% 28.8% 30.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.