Race 8B

north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Duncan Howes 29.9% 24.7% 16.8% 12.7% 8.5% 4.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arielle Morgan 8.1% 12.4% 11.5% 14.7% 12.3% 13.3% 11.8% 9.5% 4.2% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
David Coplon 17.4% 15.0% 15.6% 14.1% 13.7% 11.4% 7.3% 4.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Reynolds 13.7% 16.9% 14.3% 15.6% 13.9% 10.6% 7.4% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Margaret McMullen 2.8% 4.0% 5.5% 5.6% 7.7% 10.0% 9.9% 17.0% 16.8% 12.6% 7.1% 1.0% 0.0%
David Geer 2.6% 2.5% 3.1% 5.1% 4.9% 6.9% 9.3% 13.8% 21.5% 18.1% 9.4% 2.8% 0.0%
Kathryn Luly 5.7% 6.0% 8.1% 8.2% 10.5% 10.9% 14.6% 13.8% 12.0% 6.9% 2.3% 1.0% 0.0%
Kathryn Luly 5.7% 6.0% 8.1% 8.2% 10.5% 10.9% 14.6% 13.8% 12.0% 6.9% 2.3% 1.0% 0.0%
Douglas Zangre 9.4% 8.7% 11.8% 11.0% 10.9% 14.7% 13.2% 9.6% 6.7% 3.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Gloria Mak 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.6% 1.8% 1.2% 2.7% 5.3% 7.6% 14.9% 27.8% 36.4% 0.0%
Luke Miller 7.8% 8.0% 10.4% 10.8% 11.4% 13.0% 14.4% 11.1% 9.0% 3.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Patrick Stege 1.4% 0.5% 1.3% 0.7% 1.8% 2.1% 3.9% 5.9% 9.6% 19.1% 26.7% 27.0% 0.0%
Jack Cartwright 0.7% 0.6% 1.1% 0.9% 2.6% 1.6% 3.4% 4.8% 8.9% 19.0% 25.1% 31.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.