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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.70+4.75vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.42+4.03vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.97+6.16vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.51+2.01vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.71+3.40vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32+3.86vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.24-0.18vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.01-0.43vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+0.71vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.56-1.16vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont-0.44+1.06vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.46-2.17vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.72-7.86vs Predicted
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14Olin College of Engineering-0.92-0.71vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.85-10.28vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University-0.74-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.75Yale University1.7011.6%1st Place
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6.03University of Rhode Island1.429.6%1st Place
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9.16Salve Regina University0.974.3%1st Place
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6.01Tufts University1.5110.8%1st Place
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8.4Connecticut College0.714.9%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.322.8%1st Place
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6.82Roger Williams University1.246.9%1st Place
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7.57Roger Williams University1.015.5%1st Place
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9.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.333.4%1st Place
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8.84Boston University0.563.9%1st Place
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12.06University of Vermont-0.441.8%1st Place
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9.83Northeastern University0.463.3%1st Place
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5.14Brown University1.7213.9%1st Place
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13.29Olin College of Engineering-0.920.9%1st Place
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4.72Brown University1.8515.2%1st Place
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12.8Fairfield University-0.741.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Adams | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lee | 9.6% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| Clark Morris | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Wade Anthony | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 3.4% |
| William Bailey | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Luke Hosek | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 4.0% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Greer Page | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 15.6% | 16.7% | 18.9% |
| Aidan Boni | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 5.0% |
| Ethan Simpson | 13.9% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rohan Shah | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 20.3% | 34.5% |
| Laura Hamilton | 15.2% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Cronin | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 19.0% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.