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📊 Prediction Accuracy
6.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.72+4.07vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.85+2.76vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.42+3.16vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.70+1.70vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.97+4.24vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-0.44+6.18vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32+2.73vs Predicted
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8Olin College of Engineering-0.92+5.38vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.51-3.08vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.24-3.15vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.01-3.47vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.56-3.39vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-3.49vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.71-5.70vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University-0.74-2.16vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.46-5.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.07Brown University1.7213.5%1st Place
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4.76Brown University1.8515.2%1st Place
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6.16University of Rhode Island1.429.8%1st Place
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5.7Yale University1.7010.2%1st Place
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9.24Salve Regina University0.974.0%1st Place
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12.18University of Vermont-0.441.2%1st Place
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9.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.323.0%1st Place
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13.38Olin College of Engineering-0.920.9%1st Place
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5.92Tufts University1.519.7%1st Place
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6.85Roger Williams University1.248.0%1st Place
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7.53Roger Williams University1.016.2%1st Place
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8.61Boston University0.564.5%1st Place
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9.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.334.3%1st Place
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8.3Connecticut College0.715.3%1st Place
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12.84Fairfield University-0.741.3%1st Place
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10.23Northeastern University0.462.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Simpson | 13.5% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Laura Hamilton | 15.2% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lee | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alex Adams | 10.2% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Greer Page | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 20.3% | 18.0% |
| Caroline Odell | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 3.5% |
| Rohan Shah | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 11.3% | 17.8% | 38.0% |
| Clark Morris | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Luke Hosek | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 3.0% |
| Wade Anthony | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Timothy Cronin | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 20.0% | 27.3% |
| Aidan Boni | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.