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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.74+4.64vs Predicted
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2Amherst College1.69+6.78vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.11+4.65vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.87+1.36vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.41-1.00vs Predicted
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6Brandeis University1.25+4.37vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-1.88vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61-1.82vs Predicted
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9Bentley University0.92+2.28vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.48-3.38vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-3.80vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon2.51-6.38vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University1.49-4.09vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.97-3.82vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut0.07-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.64Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.78Amherst College1.690.0%1st Place
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7.65Roger Williams University2.110.1%1st Place
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5.36Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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4.0Tufts University3.410.2%1st Place
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10.37Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
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5.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.1%1st Place
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6.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.1%1st Place
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11.28Bentley University0.920.0%1st Place
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6.62Northeastern University2.480.1%1st Place
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8.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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6.62University of Oregon2.510.1%1st Place
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9.91Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
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11.18Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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13.09University of Connecticut0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Johannes Raatz | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 11.9% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Dan Nickerson | 19.9% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jared Dunn | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 7.8% |
| Andrew Bates | 12.2% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Gullick | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Durant | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 20.2% | 13.6% |
| Becker Awqatty | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Philip Gordon | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Molly Haley | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 5.6% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 19.6% | 15.1% |
| Lyndsay Stockwell | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 50.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.