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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.72+4.15vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.42+4.15vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.70+2.76vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.71+4.34vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32+4.70vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.24+0.75vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.01+0.64vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+1.56vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont-0.44+3.10vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.97-0.85vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.51-5.05vs Predicted
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12Olin College of Engineering-0.92+1.40vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.46-3.12vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.85-9.15vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.56-6.18vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University-0.74-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.15Brown University1.7213.7%1st Place
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6.15University of Rhode Island1.429.6%1st Place
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5.76Yale University1.709.8%1st Place
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8.34Connecticut College0.715.1%1st Place
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9.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.323.7%1st Place
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6.75Roger Williams University1.248.5%1st Place
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7.64Roger Williams University1.016.3%1st Place
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9.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.333.9%1st Place
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12.1University of Vermont-0.441.4%1st Place
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9.15Salve Regina University0.973.1%1st Place
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5.95Tufts University1.519.9%1st Place
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13.4Olin College of Engineering-0.920.8%1st Place
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9.88Northeastern University0.463.6%1st Place
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4.85Brown University1.8515.4%1st Place
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8.82Boston University0.564.3%1st Place
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12.81Fairfield University-0.740.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Simpson | 13.7% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lee | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Alex Adams | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Wade Anthony | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Caroline Odell | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 3.4% |
| William Bailey | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Luke Hosek | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Greer Page | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 18.4% | 18.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Clark Morris | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Rohan Shah | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 19.6% | 36.5% |
| Aidan Boni | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
| Laura Hamilton | 15.4% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Timothy Cronin | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 21.1% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.