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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61+5.06vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.11+5.51vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.74+2.64vs Predicted
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4Brandeis University1.25+6.35vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.48+1.63vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-0.88vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.41-3.08vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon2.51-1.57vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.87-3.72vs Predicted
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10Amherst College1.69-0.88vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University1.49-1.25vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.97-1.57vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-5.60vs Predicted
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15Bentley University0.92-3.71vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut0.07-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.1%1st Place
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7.51Roger Williams University2.110.1%1st Place
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5.64Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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10.35Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
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6.63Northeastern University2.480.1%1st Place
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5.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.1%1st Place
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3.92Tufts University3.410.2%1st Place
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6.43University of Oregon2.510.1%1st Place
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5.28Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.12Amherst College1.690.0%1st Place
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9.75Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
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11.43Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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8.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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11.29Bentley University0.920.0%1st Place
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13.06University of Connecticut0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Gullick | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jared Dunn | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 8.7% |
| Becker Awqatty | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Bates | 12.3% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Dan Nickerson | 20.0% | 17.6% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Johannes Raatz | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| Molly Haley | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 7.2% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 16.2% | 19.7% | 15.2% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Tyler Durant | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 20.9% | 14.3% |
| Lyndsay Stockwell | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 17.9% | 47.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.