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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.56+7.77vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.72+3.09vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.97+6.16vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.51+1.89vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.85-0.11vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.71+2.36vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.01+0.48vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+1.79vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.42-2.99vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.70-4.31vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-0.74+1.98vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.46-2.01vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32-3.21vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.24-7.19vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.44-2.97vs Predicted
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16Olin College of Engineering-0.92-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.77Boston University0.564.5%1st Place
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5.09Brown University1.7213.8%1st Place
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9.16Salve Regina University0.973.7%1st Place
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5.89Tufts University1.5110.0%1st Place
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4.89Brown University1.8514.1%1st Place
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8.36Connecticut College0.715.9%1st Place
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7.48Roger Williams University1.016.8%1st Place
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9.79Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.333.4%1st Place
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6.01University of Rhode Island1.429.9%1st Place
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5.69Yale University1.7010.4%1st Place
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12.98Fairfield University-0.741.1%1st Place
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9.99Northeastern University0.463.4%1st Place
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9.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.323.0%1st Place
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6.81Roger Williams University1.247.3%1st Place
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12.03University of Vermont-0.441.7%1st Place
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13.27Olin College of Engineering-0.921.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Monaghan | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Ethan Simpson | 13.8% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
| Clark Morris | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Laura Hamilton | 14.1% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wade Anthony | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Luke Hosek | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% |
| Henry Lee | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alex Adams | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Cronin | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 18.3% | 29.8% |
| Aidan Boni | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 4.5% |
| Caroline Odell | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 4.5% |
| William Bailey | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Greer Page | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 19.7% | 16.5% |
| Rohan Shah | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 19.6% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.