Race 3A

south-series-two

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Dan Nickerson 22.1% 17.7% 12.7% 11.9% 11.1% 8.2% 5.7% 4.7% 2.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Katherine Gullick 8.7% 10.3% 10.2% 10.2% 8.8% 9.7% 9.1% 7.8% 7.6% 6.0% 5.4% 3.2% 1.8% 1.1% 0.1%
Andrew Bates 12.1% 12.3% 13.9% 8.8% 10.0% 11.4% 8.7% 7.8% 6.8% 2.7% 3.2% 1.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Elizabeth Glivinski 9.8% 11.4% 10.4% 9.1% 10.6% 9.4% 6.4% 10.6% 6.7% 6.4% 4.5% 2.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Ian Hollerbach 5.5% 6.3% 5.7% 5.5% 6.9% 6.2% 8.3% 8.9% 8.8% 11.1% 9.3% 7.8% 5.5% 3.4% 0.8%
Johannes Raatz 3.6% 3.3% 3.3% 4.6% 5.7% 4.3% 6.6% 6.2% 9.0% 11.0% 11.0% 11.1% 12.0% 5.2% 3.1%
Kelly McGlynn 12.1% 9.9% 11.4% 12.3% 10.1% 9.6% 10.0% 6.9% 5.1% 5.1% 3.6% 2.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Sean McLaughlin 4.6% 4.4% 5.1% 6.2% 6.7% 7.0% 6.3% 8.1% 8.9% 10.7% 9.4% 9.7% 6.8% 4.7% 1.4%
Philip Gordon 7.0% 7.3% 9.1% 10.0% 9.9% 9.2% 10.7% 7.4% 8.8% 7.3% 6.0% 3.6% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Tyler Durant 1.7% 1.5% 2.1% 2.3% 1.2% 2.7% 4.3% 3.1% 5.6% 7.0% 7.4% 9.1% 16.0% 21.1% 14.9%
Mary Clawson 1.3% 2.4% 1.5% 2.0% 2.6% 3.7% 3.3% 4.7% 4.7% 6.2% 8.0% 11.9% 12.6% 18.5% 16.6%
Becker Awqatty 6.8% 7.0% 7.8% 10.0% 7.7% 8.6% 9.0% 8.9% 10.0% 8.1% 6.7% 5.3% 2.8% 1.1% 0.2%
Molly Haley 2.4% 2.8% 3.4% 3.6% 4.0% 4.5% 4.5% 6.1% 7.2% 8.4% 11.4% 11.9% 12.4% 11.1% 6.3%
Jared Dunn 1.7% 2.5% 2.7% 2.7% 3.6% 3.6% 5.9% 6.2% 6.4% 5.6% 9.1% 12.8% 14.6% 15.1% 7.5%
Lyndsay Stockwell 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 1.9% 1.2% 2.6% 2.4% 2.6% 4.3% 6.0% 8.9% 17.1% 48.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.