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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61+5.10vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.74+3.62vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.11+4.66vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.41-0.08vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon2.51+1.49vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-0.89vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University1.25+3.29vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.87-2.62vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.48-2.54vs Predicted
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10Bentley University0.92+1.32vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-2.71vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.97-0.60vs Predicted
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13Amherst College1.69-3.75vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University1.49-4.35vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut0.07-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.1%1st Place
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5.62Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.66Roger Williams University2.110.1%1st Place
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3.92Tufts University3.410.2%1st Place
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6.49University of Oregon2.510.1%1st Place
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5.11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.1%1st Place
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10.29Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
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5.38Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.46Northeastern University2.480.1%1st Place
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11.32Bentley University0.920.0%1st Place
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8.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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11.4Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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9.25Amherst College1.690.0%1st Place
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9.65Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
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13.07University of Connecticut0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Gullick | 9.6% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Dan Nickerson | 19.6% | 18.7% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Bates | 12.4% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jared Dunn | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 8.6% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 10.2% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Becker Awqatty | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Durant | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 17.9% | 16.6% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 16.2% | 20.3% | 14.3% |
| Johannes Raatz | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 3.4% |
| Molly Haley | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 4.7% |
| Lyndsay Stockwell | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 16.9% | 47.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.