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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.70+4.72vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.42+4.20vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.51+2.87vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.97+5.16vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+4.59vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.01+1.51vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.71+1.26vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.85-3.14vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.56-0.07vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.72-4.94vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.46-1.07vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32-2.22vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.24-6.24vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.44-1.87vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University-0.74-1.93vs Predicted
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16Olin College of Engineering-0.92-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.72Yale University1.7010.2%1st Place
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6.2University of Rhode Island1.429.8%1st Place
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5.87Tufts University1.5110.5%1st Place
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9.16Salve Regina University0.974.0%1st Place
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9.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.333.4%1st Place
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7.51Roger Williams University1.016.3%1st Place
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8.26Connecticut College0.714.6%1st Place
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4.86Brown University1.8515.2%1st Place
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8.93Boston University0.563.8%1st Place
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5.06Brown University1.7213.2%1st Place
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9.93Northeastern University0.463.5%1st Place
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9.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.323.1%1st Place
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6.76Roger Williams University1.248.8%1st Place
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12.13University of Vermont-0.441.8%1st Place
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13.07Fairfield University-0.740.8%1st Place
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13.17Olin College of Engineering-0.921.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Adams | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Henry Lee | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Clark Morris | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 1.8% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| Luke Hosek | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Wade Anthony | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Laura Hamilton | 15.2% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Ethan Simpson | 13.2% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boni | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 4.5% |
| Caroline Odell | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 4.0% |
| William Bailey | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Greer Page | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 19.1% | 17.8% |
| Timothy Cronin | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 19.7% | 28.7% |
| Rohan Shah | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 19.3% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.