← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University0.56+7.69vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+7.58vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.72+2.05vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island1.42+2.12vs Predicted
-
5Olin College of Engineering-0.92+8.32vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont-0.44+6.11vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.24-0.32vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University0.97+1.27vs Predicted
-
9Brown University1.85-4.21vs Predicted
-
10Yale University1.70-4.38vs Predicted
-
11Fairfield University-0.74+1.66vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College0.38-2.95vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32-3.29vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University1.01-6.52vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University0.46-4.97vs Predicted
-
16Tufts University1.51-10.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.69Boston University0.565.0%1st Place
-
9.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.333.9%1st Place
-
5.05Brown University1.7212.3%1st Place
-
6.12University of Rhode Island1.429.8%1st Place
-
13.32Olin College of Engineering-0.920.9%1st Place
-
12.11University of Vermont-0.441.1%1st Place
-
6.68Roger Williams University1.247.9%1st Place
-
9.27Salve Regina University0.973.5%1st Place
-
4.79Brown University1.8515.0%1st Place
-
5.62Yale University1.7011.7%1st Place
-
12.66Fairfield University-0.741.7%1st Place
-
9.05Connecticut College0.385.1%1st Place
-
9.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.323.5%1st Place
-
7.48Roger Williams University1.015.9%1st Place
-
10.03Northeastern University0.462.7%1st Place
-
5.84Tufts University1.5110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Monaghan | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 3.5% |
| Ethan Simpson | 12.3% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lee | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Rohan Shah | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 19.9% | 35.9% |
| Greer Page | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 18.1% | 18.1% |
| William Bailey | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 15.0% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 11.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Cronin | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 13.7% | 19.8% | 25.9% |
| Liam Gronda | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Caroline Odell | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
| Luke Hosek | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Boni | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 4.2% |
| Clark Morris | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.