Race 5A

south-series-two

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Katherine Gullick 10.4% 10.3% 11.2% 8.6% 9.5% 10.0% 10.8% 8.5% 6.5% 6.2% 4.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.3%
Kelly McGlynn 11.0% 15.0% 12.3% 11.0% 13.5% 8.8% 8.0% 6.1% 5.9% 4.6% 2.0% 0.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Sean McLaughlin 5.6% 4.6% 6.9% 6.5% 5.5% 8.8% 9.4% 9.6% 9.5% 9.6% 8.5% 7.9% 5.1% 1.9% 0.6%
Dan Nickerson 21.9% 19.0% 14.1% 13.5% 9.3% 8.8% 6.5% 3.1% 1.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Hollerbach 5.7% 6.7% 7.1% 5.7% 6.4% 8.3% 8.6% 10.1% 10.8% 10.8% 6.7% 6.1% 4.0% 2.5% 0.5%
Andrew Bates 13.1% 12.8% 12.4% 13.7% 11.4% 10.0% 7.9% 7.4% 5.7% 2.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Elizabeth Glivinski 11.1% 10.3% 12.5% 10.5% 10.9% 10.7% 9.1% 6.6% 7.3% 4.6% 3.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.2%
Johannes Raatz 3.9% 3.9% 4.2% 5.5% 5.8% 6.5% 6.3% 8.9% 10.1% 8.3% 12.8% 11.0% 6.9% 4.2% 1.7%
Molly Haley 2.4% 3.4% 2.7% 4.4% 4.6% 6.8% 6.2% 8.7% 9.2% 10.3% 12.4% 10.6% 10.3% 5.7% 2.3%
Becker Awqatty 7.9% 7.9% 9.1% 10.1% 10.4% 7.9% 10.1% 10.7% 7.5% 8.4% 4.9% 2.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.2%
Jared Dunn 2.5% 1.5% 3.1% 3.5% 4.5% 4.0% 5.8% 5.5% 7.2% 10.7% 12.1% 12.2% 11.9% 8.8% 6.7%
Eliza Pearce 1.3% 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 1.8% 1.9% 2.3% 2.8% 4.1% 6.0% 7.7% 9.4% 16.3% 22.2% 21.7%
Tyler Durant 1.3% 2.1% 1.9% 2.2% 2.8% 3.3% 4.0% 5.1% 5.6% 6.7% 10.0% 14.1% 15.3% 14.1% 11.5%
Tom McKenzie 1.2% 1.3% 0.8% 2.3% 2.1% 2.1% 3.3% 4.4% 5.8% 6.3% 7.8% 12.0% 14.6% 19.1% 16.9%
Lyndsay Stockwell 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 1.5% 1.5% 2.1% 1.7% 2.5% 3.2% 3.4% 5.5% 7.9% 11.2% 20.0% 37.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.