Race 6A

south-series-two

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Dan Nickerson 23.1% 19.5% 14.8% 11.3% 9.2% 8.5% 5.4% 3.6% 2.5% 0.6% 0.8% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Hollerbach 6.2% 5.8% 7.5% 7.9% 9.2% 8.4% 9.1% 9.0% 8.9% 9.6% 7.1% 5.2% 4.2% 1.6% 0.3%
Andrew Bates 12.4% 13.6% 13.3% 12.6% 12.0% 9.6% 9.0% 6.7% 5.1% 2.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Becker Awqatty 7.8% 9.4% 10.3% 9.8% 8.7% 9.1% 8.4% 9.5% 10.0% 7.1% 4.7% 3.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Sean McLaughlin 5.6% 5.4% 6.1% 5.4% 6.7% 8.0% 7.9% 8.7% 9.4% 10.4% 10.2% 7.1% 6.2% 2.5% 0.4%
Johannes Raatz 3.8% 4.0% 4.7% 4.0% 5.5% 5.3% 8.6% 7.4% 11.5% 11.3% 10.1% 11.2% 6.8% 4.1% 1.7%
Tyler Durant 2.9% 2.1% 2.3% 2.4% 2.0% 2.6% 3.6% 5.1% 5.3% 9.4% 11.3% 11.9% 12.6% 16.7% 9.8%
Elizabeth Glivinski 11.6% 10.7% 10.3% 10.9% 11.3% 9.2% 9.2% 9.0% 6.1% 4.6% 3.7% 1.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Katherine Gullick 8.4% 10.1% 10.7% 11.7% 10.7% 10.6% 8.3% 8.7% 6.8% 6.3% 3.9% 2.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Eliza Pearce 0.9% 1.4% 1.4% 1.6% 1.5% 1.5% 2.6% 3.0% 5.1% 6.7% 6.8% 8.8% 15.0% 20.3% 23.4%
Tom McKenzie 1.3% 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 2.0% 3.4% 3.8% 3.7% 5.0% 5.4% 9.8% 10.6% 14.4% 18.5% 18.0%
Jared Dunn 2.5% 1.3% 2.1% 2.4% 4.4% 5.8% 5.4% 5.8% 7.5% 9.9% 10.2% 13.3% 14.2% 10.7% 4.5%
Kelly McGlynn 10.6% 11.5% 10.4% 13.0% 10.1% 10.0% 11.0% 9.6% 5.1% 3.8% 3.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Molly Haley 2.4% 3.5% 3.5% 4.2% 5.1% 5.8% 6.4% 7.2% 8.8% 9.5% 12.3% 11.9% 9.9% 7.1% 2.4%
Lyndsay Stockwell 0.5% 0.6% 0.9% 1.5% 1.6% 2.2% 1.3% 3.0% 2.9% 2.7% 4.0% 9.0% 13.0% 17.4% 39.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.