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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.74+4.28vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.11+5.12vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+1.74vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.48+2.12vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61+0.84vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97+1.69vs Predicted
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7Amherst College1.69+1.51vs Predicted
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8Bentley University0.92+2.91vs Predicted
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9Brandeis University1.25+0.85vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.97+0.76vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.41-7.19vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University1.49-2.61vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.87-8.81vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut0.07-2.15vs Predicted
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17University of Oregon0.46-5.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.12Roger Williams University2.110.1%1st Place
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4.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.1%1st Place
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6.12Northeastern University2.480.1%1st Place
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5.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.1%1st Place
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7.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.1%1st Place
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8.51Amherst College1.690.0%1st Place
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10.91Bentley University0.920.0%1st Place
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9.85Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
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10.76Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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3.81Tufts University3.410.2%1st Place
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9.39Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
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5.19Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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12.85University of Connecticut0.070.0%1st Place
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11.95University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 12.1% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Bates | 13.0% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Becker Awqatty | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Gullick | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Johannes Raatz | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Tyler Durant | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 12.3% |
| Jared Dunn | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 4.7% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 10.0% |
| Dan Nickerson | 20.8% | 18.8% | 15.0% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Haley | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lyndsay Stockwell | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 17.6% | 41.7% |
| Eliza Pearce | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 21.4% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.