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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.51+4.94vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.01+5.42vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.72+2.07vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.46+5.60vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.42+1.10vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.24+0.86vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.85-2.25vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.97+1.29vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.70-3.36vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.38-0.73vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.56-2.27vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-2.59vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University-0.74-0.30vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.25-4.16vs Predicted
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15Olin College of Engineering-0.92-1.66vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont-0.44-3.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.94Tufts University1.5110.0%1st Place
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7.42Roger Williams University1.015.9%1st Place
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5.07Brown University1.7213.6%1st Place
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9.6Northeastern University0.463.5%1st Place
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6.1University of Rhode Island1.429.8%1st Place
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6.86Roger Williams University1.247.5%1st Place
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4.75Brown University1.8515.0%1st Place
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9.29Salve Regina University0.974.3%1st Place
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5.64Yale University1.7010.9%1st Place
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9.27Connecticut College0.384.7%1st Place
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8.73Boston University0.564.7%1st Place
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9.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.333.6%1st Place
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12.7Fairfield University-0.741.5%1st Place
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9.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.252.9%1st Place
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13.34Olin College of Engineering-0.920.7%1st Place
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12.04University of Vermont-0.441.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Morris | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hosek | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Ethan Simpson | 13.6% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boni | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
| Henry Lee | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| William Bailey | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Laura Hamilton | 15.0% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Alex Adams | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Gronda | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
| Timothy Cronin | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 20.4% | 26.6% |
| Allison Nystrom | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 4.2% |
| Rohan Shah | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 19.0% | 35.6% |
| Greer Page | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.