Race 8A

south-series-two

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

13.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Dan Nickerson 21.8% 18.4% 16.9% 11.8% 9.4% 7.8% 4.6% 4.9% 1.6% 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Bates 14.3% 13.7% 11.1% 13.7% 11.7% 9.3% 8.4% 6.3% 4.6% 3.2% 2.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Becker Awqatty 8.7% 8.0% 10.3% 8.4% 10.9% 8.3% 10.1% 9.3% 8.8% 7.3% 5.0% 3.2% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Kelly McGlynn 12.0% 12.7% 13.4% 9.2% 10.8% 9.6% 9.8% 8.1% 5.2% 4.9% 2.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.2%
Eliza Pearce 1.0% 1.4% 1.4% 2.0% 1.8% 2.6% 2.1% 3.1% 3.8% 6.1% 6.7% 9.8% 13.7% 20.7% 23.8%
Mary Clawson 2.0% 2.2% 1.3% 2.4% 3.5% 3.0% 4.1% 5.0% 5.1% 8.5% 9.0% 13.7% 15.6% 15.1% 9.5%
Tyler Durant 2.3% 2.3% 2.1% 2.5% 2.2% 3.4% 3.3% 5.6% 5.8% 6.3% 11.3% 11.8% 14.6% 16.2% 10.3%
Johannes Raatz 3.7% 4.1% 4.0% 5.0% 5.9% 6.3% 7.9% 5.9% 10.3% 11.0% 10.3% 10.4% 8.2% 5.4% 1.6%
Katherine Gullick 8.1% 9.8% 10.4% 11.5% 11.2% 9.9% 9.2% 8.0% 8.5% 6.3% 3.2% 2.3% 1.4% 0.1% 0.1%
Sean McLaughlin 4.5% 4.8% 5.4% 5.8% 7.3% 8.6% 8.9% 9.2% 10.0% 10.3% 8.1% 8.3% 5.7% 2.5% 0.6%
Jared Dunn 2.1% 2.4% 2.7% 3.3% 3.7% 4.9% 5.3% 5.7% 7.9% 10.0% 11.2% 9.7% 13.1% 12.8% 5.2%
Molly Haley 2.6% 2.2% 2.9% 3.5% 4.6% 5.5% 6.6% 7.4% 9.0% 8.4% 13.0% 12.5% 9.4% 8.9% 3.5%
Lyndsay Stockwell 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 1.6% 1.2% 1.4% 2.4% 2.0% 2.3% 3.3% 5.2% 6.8% 11.2% 16.9% 44.6%
Elizabeth Glivinski 10.9% 10.7% 11.0% 12.4% 8.4% 11.2% 8.4% 10.0% 7.2% 3.8% 3.1% 1.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Ian Hollerbach 5.5% 7.0% 6.8% 6.9% 7.4% 8.2% 8.9% 9.5% 9.9% 9.1% 8.5% 6.8% 3.9% 1.1% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.