Race 1B

south-series-two

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

15.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Erica Lush 10.9% 10.9% 15.1% 12.1% 12.0% 10.6% 8.7% 7.7% 6.0% 3.1% 1.5% 1.1% 0.3%
Conor O'Neil 3.2% 4.1% 4.9% 5.8% 7.4% 6.5% 8.2% 9.6% 11.8% 11.3% 10.1% 10.4% 6.7%
Alexander Rudkin 7.6% 10.2% 11.8% 10.8% 11.1% 11.3% 12.1% 7.5% 7.9% 4.6% 2.8% 2.0% 0.3%
Hanna Vincent 37.9% 23.6% 16.8% 11.6% 5.9% 2.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Andrew Balter 10.2% 10.1% 11.9% 12.1% 11.1% 9.9% 9.9% 8.9% 6.2% 4.6% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
Priscilla Stoll 3.1% 4.3% 5.6% 4.7% 5.7% 8.0% 8.5% 10.4% 10.0% 11.7% 10.6% 9.8% 7.6%
Brooke Doyon 2.0% 3.9% 2.4% 3.5% 4.7% 4.7% 5.6% 6.8% 8.1% 11.2% 13.2% 16.2% 17.7%
Emmett Weeks 9.7% 11.7% 11.2% 11.7% 11.3% 11.6% 10.9% 10.4% 4.8% 3.2% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Heidi Hood 7.4% 9.6% 8.5% 11.0% 11.4% 11.2% 8.6% 9.5% 9.2% 6.0% 4.4% 2.3% 0.9%
John Fonte 2.5% 3.1% 3.3% 3.8% 4.6% 6.2% 6.4% 7.6% 10.6% 10.8% 12.1% 14.3% 14.7%
Francisco Salas 1.4% 0.9% 1.7% 2.8% 3.1% 4.7% 5.2% 5.1% 5.1% 9.6% 12.5% 17.8% 30.1%
Noel Ingalls 2.6% 4.4% 3.2% 6.5% 6.7% 7.5% 7.3% 8.8% 10.6% 11.4% 13.4% 10.9% 6.7%
Pierce Conlin 1.5% 3.2% 3.6% 3.6% 5.0% 5.7% 7.2% 7.4% 9.4% 12.5% 13.2% 13.2% 14.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.