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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago1.33+2.28vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas-0.03+4.38vs Predicted
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3Purdue University1.04+0.78vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.94+0.19vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame0.99-1.05vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-0.15+0.89vs Predicted
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7Lake Forest College-0.42+0.51vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-0.33-0.59vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-1.71+1.61vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.38-2.16vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University-1.47-0.85vs Predicted
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12Marquette University-1.04-2.96vs Predicted
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13Northern Michigan University-1.41-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28University of Chicago1.3323.2%1st Place
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6.38University of Saint Thomas-0.036.6%1st Place
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3.78Purdue University1.0417.4%1st Place
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4.19University of Wisconsin0.9414.6%1st Place
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3.95University of Notre Dame0.9917.1%1st Place
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6.89Northern Michigan University-0.155.3%1st Place
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7.51Lake Forest College-0.424.1%1st Place
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7.41University of Minnesota-0.333.9%1st Place
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10.61University of Michigan-1.710.8%1st Place
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7.84Northwestern University-0.382.5%1st Place
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10.15Northwestern University-1.471.1%1st Place
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9.04Marquette University-1.042.2%1st Place
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9.98Northern Michigan University-1.411.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Ehrnrooth | 23.2% | 20.1% | 17.4% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Justin Skene | 17.4% | 18.0% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marley Barrett | 14.6% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 17.1% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marco Constantini | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Lucia Marquez | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Hayden Johansen | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 1.8% |
| Andrew Beute | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 21.2% | 31.9% |
| George Warfel | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 3.7% |
| Marguerite Eno | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 19.1% | 24.5% |
| Lily Brandt | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 11.8% |
| Branden Palarz | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 15.0% | 18.5% | 21.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.