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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University1.04+2.79vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.94+2.14vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago1.33+0.41vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame0.99-0.05vs Predicted
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5Lake Forest College-0.42+2.58vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-0.33+1.18vs Predicted
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7University of Saint Thomas-0.03-0.50vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.38-0.28vs Predicted
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9Northern Michigan University-0.15-2.13vs Predicted
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10Northern Michigan University-1.41-0.04vs Predicted
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11Marquette University-1.04-1.84vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-1.71-1.40vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-1.47-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79Purdue University1.0418.2%1st Place
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4.14University of Wisconsin0.9415.1%1st Place
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3.41University of Chicago1.3321.1%1st Place
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3.95University of Notre Dame0.9916.2%1st Place
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7.58Lake Forest College-0.424.0%1st Place
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7.18University of Minnesota-0.335.0%1st Place
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6.5University of Saint Thomas-0.036.0%1st Place
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7.72Northwestern University-0.383.8%1st Place
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6.87Northern Michigan University-0.154.6%1st Place
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9.96Northern Michigan University-1.411.2%1st Place
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9.16Marquette University-1.042.5%1st Place
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10.6University of Michigan-1.711.1%1st Place
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10.13Northwestern University-1.471.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Skene | 18.2% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Marley Barrett | 15.1% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christian Ehrnrooth | 21.1% | 20.2% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 16.2% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Marquez | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 2.3% |
| Hayden Johansen | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| George Warfel | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 4.0% |
| Marco Constantini | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Branden Palarz | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 18.2% | 21.9% |
| Lily Brandt | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 11.8% |
| Andrew Beute | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 18.6% | 33.8% |
| Marguerite Eno | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 20.5% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.