Race 2B

south-series-two

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

15.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alexander Rudkin 7.9% 11.5% 10.7% 10.4% 12.1% 10.1% 11.4% 7.8% 7.5% 6.1% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4%
Erica Lush 10.4% 12.5% 13.0% 13.0% 12.1% 12.6% 8.8% 6.0% 6.2% 2.8% 1.3% 1.2% 0.1%
Emmett Weeks 7.8% 11.2% 12.5% 12.6% 10.9% 12.1% 9.4% 8.8% 6.8% 5.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.3%
Conor O'Neil 3.2% 3.1% 4.7% 6.5% 7.0% 7.1% 9.4% 10.5% 10.1% 10.5% 11.5% 10.7% 5.7%
Hanna Vincent 37.6% 25.6% 16.0% 10.5% 4.8% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Heidi Hood 8.6% 7.9% 10.1% 11.3% 10.5% 11.8% 8.8% 9.6% 7.9% 6.7% 4.5% 1.6% 0.7%
Brooke Doyon 2.8% 2.4% 2.9% 3.3% 5.4% 6.4% 4.9% 5.6% 8.2% 10.3% 13.0% 17.6% 17.2%
Andrew Balter 9.9% 9.8% 11.1% 12.1% 10.5% 11.3% 10.6% 9.8% 6.3% 4.1% 2.9% 1.4% 0.2%
John Fonte 2.3% 3.2% 3.5% 3.9% 4.2% 5.3% 5.9% 7.2% 10.6% 11.7% 12.3% 15.4% 14.5%
Noel Ingalls 3.5% 5.2% 4.1% 4.9% 6.9% 6.9% 8.6% 10.5% 10.0% 9.9% 11.6% 9.8% 8.1%
Pierce Conlin 2.0% 2.5% 4.2% 4.8% 6.5% 5.5% 6.9% 8.8% 10.6% 12.0% 12.7% 12.0% 11.5%
Priscilla Stoll 2.9% 4.0% 4.6% 4.5% 6.9% 5.2% 9.9% 9.5% 8.4% 11.5% 13.5% 12.4% 6.7%
Francisco Salas 1.1% 1.1% 2.6% 2.2% 2.2% 2.7% 4.0% 5.4% 6.9% 9.3% 11.8% 16.1% 34.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.