Race 3B

south-series-two

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alexander Rudkin 6.8% 11.3% 10.7% 11.6% 10.8% 11.9% 10.2% 8.9% 7.5% 5.1% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6%
Andrew Balter 8.0% 10.2% 10.6% 13.0% 11.1% 9.5% 10.3% 9.5% 6.8% 5.6% 3.1% 1.9% 0.4%
Conor O'Neil 3.2% 2.8% 5.1% 5.5% 6.8% 8.2% 8.2% 9.8% 11.0% 10.1% 13.2% 9.3% 6.8%
Priscilla Stoll 2.8% 4.3% 4.6% 4.6% 5.2% 8.6% 8.3% 9.4% 10.4% 10.8% 11.6% 11.1% 8.3%
Heidi Hood 8.4% 8.8% 9.6% 10.3% 11.4% 8.7% 10.9% 10.5% 7.5% 6.9% 3.4% 2.7% 0.9%
John Fonte 2.4% 3.4% 4.0% 3.4% 4.4% 5.5% 6.4% 7.8% 8.1% 12.4% 13.9% 13.9% 14.4%
Emmett Weeks 10.6% 10.2% 12.7% 11.7% 13.1% 9.7% 8.3% 8.2% 7.1% 4.4% 2.0% 1.7% 0.3%
Pierce Conlin 2.5% 3.5% 3.5% 4.0% 4.7% 6.4% 6.5% 8.1% 10.7% 10.2% 13.7% 14.2% 12.0%
Francisco Salas 1.0% 1.9% 2.4% 2.1% 2.9% 4.0% 4.5% 3.3% 5.6% 8.7% 10.2% 18.6% 34.8%
Padraig Loughlin 5.0% 4.8% 4.7% 6.5% 6.6% 9.9% 8.8% 9.5% 10.7% 10.0% 9.8% 8.9% 4.8%
Brooke Doyon 1.1% 3.0% 2.8% 4.0% 5.0% 4.9% 6.3% 6.5% 9.1% 11.8% 13.7% 15.5% 16.3%
Erica Lush 10.7% 11.4% 14.1% 13.4% 11.0% 9.7% 9.4% 7.8% 5.3% 3.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.4%
Hanna Vincent 37.5% 24.4% 15.2% 9.9% 7.0% 3.0% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.