← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Purdue University1.04+2.66vs Predicted
-
2University of Notre Dame0.99+1.77vs Predicted
-
3University of Saint Thomas-0.03+3.28vs Predicted
-
4University of Chicago1.33-0.65vs Predicted
-
5University of Wisconsin0.94-0.97vs Predicted
-
6Northwestern University-0.38+1.73vs Predicted
-
7Marquette University-1.04+1.85vs Predicted
-
8Northwestern University-1.47+2.01vs Predicted
-
9University of Minnesota-0.33-1.89vs Predicted
-
10Northern Michigan University-0.15-3.26vs Predicted
-
11Northern Michigan University-1.41-1.23vs Predicted
-
12University of Michigan-1.71-1.59vs Predicted
-
13Lake Forest College-1.20-3.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.66Purdue University1.0418.9%1st Place
-
3.77University of Notre Dame0.9917.2%1st Place
-
6.28University of Saint Thomas-0.036.8%1st Place
-
3.35University of Chicago1.3322.2%1st Place
-
4.03University of Wisconsin0.9414.4%1st Place
-
7.73Northwestern University-0.383.2%1st Place
-
8.85Marquette University-1.042.9%1st Place
-
10.01Northwestern University-1.471.2%1st Place
-
7.11University of Minnesota-0.333.9%1st Place
-
6.74Northern Michigan University-0.155.2%1st Place
-
9.77Northern Michigan University-1.411.1%1st Place
-
10.41University of Michigan-1.711.0%1st Place
-
9.28Lake Forest College-1.201.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Skene | 18.9% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 17.2% | 17.2% | 17.2% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Christian Ehrnrooth | 22.2% | 20.5% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marley Barrett | 14.4% | 15.6% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Warfel | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 3.5% |
| Lily Brandt | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 8.5% |
| Marguerite Eno | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 16.3% | 17.8% | 20.6% |
| Hayden Johansen | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Marco Constantini | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Branden Palarz | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 19.4% |
| Andrew Beute | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 17.6% | 30.2% |
| Wiktoria Pedryc | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.