Race 4B

south-series-two

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Heidi Hood 7.2% 9.3% 9.1% 10.6% 11.2% 9.7% 11.2% 10.1% 7.4% 6.9% 4.3% 2.2% 0.8%
Andrew Balter 8.5% 9.3% 11.2% 10.6% 12.9% 11.3% 10.1% 7.9% 8.0% 4.3% 3.2% 2.0% 0.7%
Emmett Weeks 8.2% 11.2% 12.0% 12.1% 11.0% 11.9% 10.3% 8.7% 6.5% 4.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4%
Alexander Rudkin 8.8% 8.8% 11.5% 11.2% 11.6% 11.7% 9.7% 8.6% 6.9% 6.1% 3.3% 1.2% 0.6%
Hanna Vincent 37.7% 24.7% 16.6% 8.5% 5.8% 3.5% 1.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pierce Conlin 2.4% 3.6% 3.2% 4.6% 4.1% 5.4% 6.4% 9.5% 8.7% 12.8% 13.6% 15.4% 10.3%
Priscilla Stoll 4.0% 3.9% 5.2% 6.3% 6.4% 6.1% 7.3% 8.6% 10.3% 11.4% 12.9% 10.6% 7.0%
Erica Lush 11.9% 11.6% 13.5% 13.2% 11.5% 12.2% 9.5% 6.4% 4.8% 2.2% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
Padraig Loughlin 4.2% 5.0% 5.0% 6.0% 6.8% 8.1% 8.1% 10.1% 11.3% 11.4% 10.4% 8.0% 5.6%
Brooke Doyon 1.8% 3.4% 2.6% 4.2% 3.4% 4.8% 5.9% 6.3% 8.7% 10.4% 13.2% 16.9% 18.4%
Conor O'Neil 2.8% 4.2% 6.0% 6.6% 7.8% 6.4% 8.8% 10.3% 11.8% 10.7% 10.8% 9.3% 4.5%
Francisco Salas 0.7% 1.8% 1.7% 2.7% 2.4% 3.1% 5.2% 4.4% 5.9% 8.6% 10.4% 17.4% 35.7%
John Fonte 1.8% 3.2% 2.4% 3.4% 5.1% 5.8% 5.7% 8.2% 9.2% 11.0% 13.4% 15.0% 15.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.