Race 5B

south-series-two

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Emmett Weeks 9.0% 10.7% 12.3% 11.6% 12.6% 10.7% 10.0% 7.8% 7.2% 3.9% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
Hanna Vincent 38.5% 25.5% 15.8% 9.0% 5.6% 2.4% 1.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Erica Lush 9.5% 13.3% 13.8% 12.7% 12.2% 10.8% 9.3% 7.3% 5.1% 3.3% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Andrew Balter 8.2% 9.9% 10.4% 12.8% 12.1% 9.9% 10.1% 9.6% 6.7% 5.4% 3.6% 0.9% 0.4%
Alexander Rudkin 9.4% 9.6% 11.2% 11.9% 10.2% 11.3% 10.5% 8.8% 6.7% 5.3% 2.8% 2.1% 0.2%
Pierce Conlin 2.7% 2.9% 3.7% 4.0% 4.7% 6.2% 6.4% 7.6% 10.6% 12.8% 12.3% 14.8% 11.3%
Priscilla Stoll 4.1% 3.8% 5.2% 6.1% 6.4% 6.8% 6.7% 10.2% 10.0% 11.7% 11.5% 11.1% 6.4%
John Fonte 2.2% 3.5% 3.5% 3.6% 5.7% 5.0% 6.9% 7.9% 8.3% 11.8% 14.6% 14.8% 12.2%
Heidi Hood 7.6% 8.5% 8.9% 10.8% 12.6% 10.5% 9.6% 8.7% 8.6% 6.6% 4.5% 2.1% 1.0%
Noel Ingalls 3.4% 4.7% 3.8% 4.8% 6.4% 8.9% 9.1% 8.7% 11.3% 9.3% 12.2% 9.0% 8.4%
Conor O'Neil 2.8% 4.3% 6.2% 6.9% 5.9% 8.6% 9.2% 9.8% 11.5% 11.6% 8.8% 9.5% 4.9%
Francisco Salas 1.1% 1.3% 2.2% 2.5% 1.9% 4.2% 4.5% 4.6% 6.0% 8.1% 12.0% 16.0% 35.6%
Brooke Doyon 1.5% 2.0% 3.0% 3.3% 3.7% 4.7% 6.3% 7.7% 7.7% 10.0% 13.1% 17.8% 19.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.