Race 6B

south-series-two

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Erica Lush 10.3% 13.1% 12.8% 14.0% 11.1% 9.6% 10.7% 7.6% 4.9% 3.3% 1.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Hanna Vincent 39.1% 24.9% 15.9% 8.4% 5.5% 3.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Emmett Weeks 8.6% 11.0% 13.1% 10.7% 11.7% 11.4% 10.2% 7.8% 6.5% 4.9% 2.7% 1.2% 0.2%
Alexander Rudkin 7.6% 10.4% 11.0% 11.4% 12.9% 10.5% 8.7% 9.8% 6.8% 5.6% 3.4% 1.5% 0.4%
Andrew Balter 9.7% 9.1% 12.7% 11.2% 9.8% 11.7% 11.6% 7.4% 7.3% 5.4% 2.1% 1.5% 0.5%
Priscilla Stoll 3.4% 4.2% 4.3% 6.3% 5.3% 7.8% 7.9% 8.7% 13.4% 11.6% 10.5% 10.5% 6.1%
Pierce Conlin 3.2% 2.8% 3.5% 4.7% 5.7% 6.0% 6.4% 6.9% 9.5% 12.5% 12.1% 15.9% 10.8%
Francisco Salas 1.3% 1.9% 1.4% 3.3% 3.5% 3.4% 1.9% 5.9% 7.2% 8.6% 12.1% 16.6% 32.9%
Heidi Hood 7.8% 8.2% 10.0% 10.1% 12.5% 9.9% 10.6% 8.6% 8.8% 5.3% 5.0% 2.1% 1.1%
Conor O'Neil 3.6% 5.5% 3.6% 4.8% 6.7% 8.3% 10.6% 9.7% 9.2% 11.1% 10.3% 9.1% 7.5%
John Fonte 1.7% 3.0% 3.3% 5.6% 5.9% 5.3% 6.0% 8.9% 10.7% 10.8% 14.2% 13.0% 11.6%
Brooke Doyon 1.5% 1.9% 3.5% 3.1% 4.2% 5.0% 6.4% 7.0% 6.5% 9.7% 13.4% 16.4% 21.4%
Noel Ingalls 2.2% 4.0% 4.9% 6.4% 5.2% 7.7% 7.5% 11.0% 8.8% 11.0% 12.6% 11.3% 7.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.