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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College-1.76+2.34vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42+1.13vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-1.83+0.43vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-1.09-1.49vs Predicted
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5Williams College-0.90-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34Middlebury College-1.7613.9%1st Place
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3.13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.4218.4%1st Place
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3.43Middlebury College-1.8313.1%1st Place
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2.51University of New Hampshire-1.0927.5%1st Place
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2.59Williams College-0.9027.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talia Trigg | 13.9% | 15.8% | 19.5% | 24.4% | 26.5% |
| Andy Giaya | 18.4% | 17.2% | 19.9% | 21.6% | 22.9% |
| Olivia Fulghum | 13.1% | 15.1% | 19.1% | 21.7% | 31.1% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 27.5% | 27.6% | 20.3% | 15.2% | 9.4% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 27.2% | 24.3% | 21.2% | 17.1% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.