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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+1.45vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.96+3.56vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.07+2.23vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut0.51+5.50vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon1.97-0.58vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.21-2.18vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.83-2.21vs Predicted
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9Brandeis University0.67-0.02vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-2.75vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.72-3.14vs Predicted
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13Bentley University0.12-2.75vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.19-6.22vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.06-6.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.4%1st Place
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5.56Roger Williams University1.960.1%1st Place
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5.23Brown University2.070.1%1st Place
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9.5University of Connecticut0.510.0%1st Place
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5.42University of Oregon1.970.1%1st Place
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4.82Boston University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.79Northeastern University1.830.1%1st Place
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8.98Brandeis University0.670.0%1st Place
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8.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
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8.86Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
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10.25Bentley University0.120.0%1st Place
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7.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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8.11University of Rhode Island1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanna Vincent | 37.0% | 25.7% | 15.1% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Rudkin | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Emmett Weeks | 8.6% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Brooke Doyon | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 20.1% |
| Andrew Balter | 9.5% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Erica Lush | 11.9% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Heidi Hood | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| John Fonte | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 14.4% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 7.6% |
| Pierce Conlin | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 12.6% |
| Francisco Salas | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 17.4% | 30.3% |
| Padraig Loughlin | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% |
| Conor O'Neil | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.