Race 8B

south-series-two

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alexander Rudkin 8.3% 8.8% 11.3% 12.9% 11.6% 9.6% 8.9% 9.0% 9.4% 4.9% 3.2% 1.7% 0.4%
Andrew Balter 7.5% 10.4% 10.7% 11.9% 11.3% 12.9% 8.9% 9.7% 6.4% 5.7% 2.5% 1.6% 0.5%
Emmett Weeks 8.4% 11.2% 12.9% 11.2% 11.0% 12.0% 10.8% 8.3% 5.4% 4.5% 3.3% 0.7% 0.3%
Hanna Vincent 38.0% 24.1% 15.5% 9.7% 6.6% 4.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Pierce Conlin 3.2% 3.0% 3.2% 4.7% 4.4% 6.7% 7.5% 6.9% 9.0% 12.7% 11.0% 16.5% 11.2%
Padraig Loughlin 4.2% 4.7% 5.1% 6.7% 7.5% 8.4% 8.9% 8.8% 11.9% 11.7% 8.6% 9.2% 4.3%
Brooke Doyon 2.4% 3.1% 3.3% 2.5% 4.7% 5.3% 6.7% 5.8% 7.6% 10.2% 14.8% 16.2% 17.4%
John Fonte 2.3% 2.8% 3.6% 4.7% 3.5% 6.4% 5.9% 8.5% 9.3% 11.3% 13.4% 14.8% 13.5%
Erica Lush 10.8% 12.5% 12.1% 13.0% 12.4% 8.1% 11.1% 7.7% 5.5% 3.9% 1.6% 0.8% 0.5%
Priscilla Stoll 3.9% 3.8% 4.8% 5.1% 6.4% 6.1% 8.0% 11.1% 9.9% 10.3% 12.2% 9.5% 8.9%
Heidi Hood 7.4% 9.8% 10.8% 10.6% 11.5% 9.3% 11.3% 8.9% 8.7% 5.3% 3.8% 1.3% 1.3%
Conor O'Neil 2.5% 4.5% 4.1% 5.1% 7.4% 8.0% 7.2% 9.4% 9.8% 11.3% 12.7% 12.0% 6.0%
Francisco Salas 1.1% 1.3% 2.6% 1.9% 1.7% 3.2% 3.7% 5.1% 7.1% 8.1% 12.9% 15.7% 35.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.