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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42+2.06vs Predicted
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2Williams College-0.90+0.63vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-1.76+0.30vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-1.09-1.45vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-1.83-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.4218.4%1st Place
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2.63Williams College-0.9024.9%1st Place
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3.3Middlebury College-1.7615.7%1st Place
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2.55University of New Hampshire-1.0927.8%1st Place
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3.46Middlebury College-1.8313.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Giaya | 18.4% | 19.3% | 21.4% | 20.2% | 20.8% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 24.9% | 26.2% | 21.2% | 16.5% | 11.2% |
| Talia Trigg | 15.7% | 15.5% | 18.0% | 24.4% | 26.4% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 27.8% | 24.8% | 21.2% | 16.9% | 9.4% |
| Olivia Fulghum | 13.4% | 14.2% | 18.1% | 22.0% | 32.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.