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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.8
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley2.60+9.61vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.79+7.76vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz1.41+14.14vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.64+6.29vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.81+9.50vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy2.25+6.46vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.23+0.44vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+0.95vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands2.77+0.56vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii3.68-4.37vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine2.17+1.67vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California2.57-1.08vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University1.88+1.54vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-4.58vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University2.20-2.23vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64-1.11vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley1.01+0.90vs Predicted
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19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-7.28vs Predicted
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21California State University Monterey Bay1.64-5.17vs Predicted
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22University of Washington2.10-9.03vs Predicted
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23University of Hawaii3.04-14.47vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis-0.36-0.71vs Predicted
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25University of Oregon-0.68-0.82vs Predicted
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27California State University Monterey Bay1.64-11.17vs Predicted
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28University of Puget Sound1.26-10.59vs Predicted
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29Western Washington University0.99-9.85vs Predicted
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30University of California at San Diego1.60-13.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.61University of California at Berkeley2.600.0%1st Place
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9.76University of Washington2.790.1%1st Place
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17.14University of California at Santa Cruz1.410.0%1st Place
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10.29University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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14.5Brown University1.810.0%1st Place
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12.46California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
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7.44Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.95University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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9.56California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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5.63University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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12.67University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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10.92University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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14.54Western Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
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9.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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12.77Santa Clara University2.200.0%1st Place
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15.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
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18.9University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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11.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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15.83California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
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12.97University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
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8.53University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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23.29University of California at Davis-0.360.0%1st Place
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24.18University of Oregon-0.680.0%1st Place
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15.83California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
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17.41University of Puget Sound1.260.0%1st Place
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19.15Western Washington University0.990.0%1st Place
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16.47University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Shevitz | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Haelsig | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Pastalka | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Bailey | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 1.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 15.6% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Vranizan | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Lund | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Amery | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 9.6% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Haney | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wilkerson | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 27.3% | 37.1% | 0.0% |
| Taisuke Kamoshita | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 23.0% | 49.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Haney | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mike Knape | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Reeves | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.