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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire-1.09+1.57vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College-1.76+1.27vs Predicted
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3Williams College-0.90-0.41vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-1.83-0.57vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57University of New Hampshire-1.0927.6%1st Place
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3.27Middlebury College-1.7615.5%1st Place
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2.59Williams College-0.9027.0%1st Place
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3.43Middlebury College-1.8313.4%1st Place
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3.15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.4216.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonja Krajewski | 27.6% | 24.3% | 21.7% | 16.4% | 9.9% |
| Talia Trigg | 15.5% | 16.1% | 20.4% | 22.0% | 26.0% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 27.0% | 25.4% | 20.2% | 16.7% | 10.8% |
| Olivia Fulghum | 13.4% | 15.8% | 17.3% | 21.9% | 31.6% |
| Andy Giaya | 16.6% | 18.3% | 20.4% | 22.9% | 21.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.