← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont3.11+4.45vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+5.17vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.62+1.13vs Predicted
-
5Brown University1.66+5.59vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.08+3.06vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.99+2.68vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University3.06-2.22vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University2.61-1.83vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College3.11-4.25vs Predicted
-
11Yale University1.64-0.38vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College2.25-3.30vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University2.92-6.80vs Predicted
-
14University of New Hampshire1.04-1.36vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.91-5.08vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.95-4.26vs Predicted
-
18University of Connecticut1.53-6.84vs Predicted
-
19Wesleyan University-0.83-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.45University of Vermont3.110.1%1st Place
-
7.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
-
4.13Dartmouth College3.620.2%1st Place
-
10.59Brown University1.660.0%1st Place
-
9.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.080.0%1st Place
-
9.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.990.0%1st Place
-
5.78Salve Regina University3.060.1%1st Place
-
7.17Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
-
5.75Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
-
10.62Yale University1.640.0%1st Place
-
8.7Connecticut College2.250.1%1st Place
-
6.2Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
-
12.64University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
-
9.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.910.0%1st Place
-
12.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.950.0%1st Place
-
11.16University of Connecticut1.530.0%1st Place
-
16.25Wesleyan University-0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin Chafee | 12.7% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Cotta | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bernie Roesler | 19.9% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Tower | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 1.3% |
| Chris Grabe | 3.1% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Jacob Tronaas | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 0.5% |
| Eric Decesar | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Pelleteri | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Bo McClatchy | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Stevens | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 2.0% |
| Stephen Sweriduk | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Haley Powell | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ann Sager | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 21.2% | 7.6% |
| Thomas Chronert | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 0.6% |
| Robert Pierce | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 15.1% | 25.0% | 7.9% |
| Colin Silveno | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 2.4% |
| Gabriel Elder | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 8.9% | 76.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.