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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Connecticut-0.80+5.22vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.05+0.76vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.10+1.29vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.04-1.23vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.93+1.45vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69+0.10vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.25-2.99vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08-1.13vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43-1.50vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-1.75-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22University of Connecticut-0.804.5%1st Place
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2.76University of Rhode Island1.0526.8%1st Place
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4.29University of New Hampshire0.1012.5%1st Place
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2.77Tufts University1.0427.1%1st Place
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6.45Salve Regina University-0.933.6%1st Place
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6.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.694.0%1st Place
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4.01Boston University0.2514.3%1st Place
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6.87University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.082.8%1st Place
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7.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.432.4%1st Place
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8.03Wesleyan University-1.751.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Treat | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 7.8% |
| Olin Guck | 26.8% | 25.9% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sam Harris | 12.5% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Mazzeo | 27.1% | 23.8% | 20.2% | 13.7% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 14.2% | 10.0% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 6.3% |
| Richard Kalich | 14.3% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Kai Latham | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 14.9% |
| Oliver Browne | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 20.9% | 23.9% |
| Thomas Broadus | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 20.0% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.