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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands2.77+8.31vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.23+5.38vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine2.17+9.99vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.68+1.61vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz1.41+11.99vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University2.20+6.80vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+2.37vs Predicted
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8University of Washington2.79+1.65vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California2.64+1.09vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California2.57+0.98vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley2.60-0.45vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-2.34vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii3.04-4.54vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-2.22vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley1.01+3.35vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University1.88-1.80vs Predicted
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17California Poly Maritime Academy2.25-4.48vs Predicted
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18California State University Monterey Bay1.64-2.21vs Predicted
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19University of Washington2.10-6.35vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego1.60-3.94vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64-4.91vs Predicted
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22Brown University1.81-7.51vs Predicted
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25California State University Monterey Bay1.64-9.21vs Predicted
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27University of California at Davis-0.36-3.99vs Predicted
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28University of Puget Sound1.26-10.49vs Predicted
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29Western Washington University0.99-10.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.31California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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7.38Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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12.99University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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5.61University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
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16.99University of California at Santa Cruz1.410.0%1st Place
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12.8Santa Clara University2.200.0%1st Place
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9.37University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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9.65University of Washington2.790.1%1st Place
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10.09University of Southern California2.640.0%1st Place
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10.98University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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10.55University of California at Berkeley2.600.1%1st Place
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9.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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8.46University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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11.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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18.35University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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14.2Western Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
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12.52California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
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15.79California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
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12.65University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
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16.06University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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16.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
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14.49Brown University1.810.0%1st Place
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15.79California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
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23.01University of California at Davis-0.360.0%1st Place
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17.51University of Puget Sound1.260.0%1st Place
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18.71Western Washington University0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Dair | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 13.9% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Pastalka | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Haelsig | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Shevitz | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Amery | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Erika Vranizan | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Haney | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Erik Lund | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Bailey | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Haney | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wilkerson | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 61.2% | 0.0% |
| Mike Knape | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Reeves | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 15.8% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.